Tetlock’s Forecasting Styles: Foxes and Hedgehogs

Tetlock’s Forecasting Styles: Foxes and Hedgehogs

What are the foxes and hedgehogs in the context of forecasting? How do they differ in their approach to making predictions? In his book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Phillip Tetlock distinguishes between two forecasting styles: foxes and hedgehogs. Hedgehogs are the big-picture thinkers and foxes are analytical and detail-oriented. Read about foxes and hedgehogs, as it relates to forecasting.

The Categorical Imperative: How We Define Morals

The Categorical Imperative: How We Define Morals

What is the categorical imperative? What does it mean for religion and morality? The categorical imperative is the idea that individual moral principles should be judged on the basis of whether or not they would make sense as universal principles. This indicates that religion shouldn’t be the deciding factor about what is or isn’t moral. Read more about the categorical imperative below.

The Other Wes Moore: Characters You Should Know

Governer Wes Moore giving a speech

Who are the characters in the book The Other Wes Moore? How did one Wes Moore end up a decorated military veteran and academic scholar, and the other a convicted murderer with a life sentence? The Other Wes Moore tells the compelling story of two men who share a name but not a fate. The characters surrounding each Wes Moore—from devoted mothers to absent fathers, from inspiring mentors to dangerous influences—help explain how their lives diverged so dramatically. Read more about The Other Wes Moore characters and how they influenced the boys’ futures.

Men and Women: Intimacy Differs by Gender

Men and Women: Intimacy Differs by Gender

Do men and women express intimacy differently? How can you recognize and work through these differences? According to John Gray, the author of Men Are From Mars, Women Are From Venus, both men and women display intimacy in cycles. Understanding and not obstructing your partner’s intimacy cycle is key to an emotionally fulfilling relationship. Read about men and women’s intimacy cycles.

Stop Using Alcohol as a Coping Mechanism

Stop Using Alcohol as a Coping Mechanism

Do you use alcohol as a coping mechanism instead of learning to manage stress? Are you concerned that wanting a drink is slowly turning into needing a drink? Drinking may seem like an easy fix, just a few sips can dull the edges of anxiety and frustration. But using alcohol as a coping mechanism comes with many more downsides than positive ones. Continue reading to learn why using alcohol as a coping mechanism is dangerous.

The Failure of the Mass Marketing Strategy

The Failure of the Mass Marketing Strategy

Why does the traditional mass marketing strategy fail? What strategies should companies use instead of traditional mass marketing? There are three major reasons why the traditional mass marketing strategy is failing. The obvious targets are gone, consumers will ignore you, and people who are happy with what they have aren’t looking for new products or services. Keep reading to learn why the mass marketing strategy no longer works in today’s society.

The Butterfly Effect Theory: Small Changes, Big Effects

The Butterfly Effect Theory: Small Changes, Big Effects

What is the butterfly effect theory? What are its implications for science? In chaos theory, the butterfly effect is the idea that small changes in the initial state of a non-linear system can have drastic effects on its later state. The concept is usually illustrated with a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil and thereby setting off a tornado in Texas. Keep reading to understand the butterfly effect theory.