Challenges of Forecasting: Trying to Find the Signal in the Noise

Challenges of Forecasting: Trying to Find the Signal in the Noise

What are the challenges of forecasting? How has political and social fragmentation made forecasting harder? Today, many forecasters are facing extreme difficulty in doing their jobs. Nate Silver believes there are two reasons for this. First, people are being encouraged to sort themselves into insular groups. Second, our trust in experts is at an all-time low. Let’s look at why Silver believes forecasters can’t do their job accurately anymore.

How to Avoid Being Scammed Online and in Person

How to Avoid Being Scammed Online and in Person

Has a deal ever seemed too good to be true? How can you avoid being scammed? In one of the last phases of their game, con artists will try to get you to double down on the deal you’re making with them. This is probably the point that you’ve suspected something’s a little fishy, so they’ll do everything in their power to keep you on board. Here’s how to avoid being scammed and manipulated.

Learn by Making Mistakes: Incremental Progress With Trial & Error

Learn by Making Mistakes: Incremental Progress With Trial & Error

What are you learning these days? Are you discouraged by the challenge? What if you saw mistakes as progress? One of the hallmarks of learning is that you don’t get something right the first time. True learning is a process that takes time, and it often requires baby steps and even missteps. Incremental progress is progress all the same, and it can be an incredibly effective way to learn. Read on for advice and encouragement to learn by making mistakes.

Beyond Order: Quotes From Jordan Peterson to Inspire You

Beyond Order: Quotes From Jordan Peterson to Inspire You

What’s a good attitude to have toward new ideas and methods? How might you find practical inspiration from the myths of old? What should you do in your marriage before you plan for romance? In the sequel Beyond Order, Jordan B. Peterson provides 12 more rules for life. He shares his perspectives on how and why to listen to your conscience, how to find the courage to take responsibility for yourself and your loved ones, and how to show up for life as fully as you can. Continue reading for several Beyond Order quotes that provide insight into the book’s

Why Fun Is Important: Benefits for Your Body & Mind

Why Fun Is Important: Benefits for Your Body & Mind

How can playfulness help you connect with your true self? What do you enjoy so much that it causes you to lose your sense of time? In The Power of Fun, award-winning science writer Catherine Price uses research and personal anecdotes to explain why fun is fundamental to living a happy and healthy life. She defines fun and explains why it matters throughout our lives. Keep reading to learn why fun is important in various aspects of life.

Reconciling With Mortality: Why You Should Think About Death

Reconciling With Mortality: Why You Should Think About Death

Have you come to grips with the fact that you’re going to die one day? Do you avoid thinking about death? The comforts we live with today don’t impact just our bodies; they influence our minds as well. With so many distractions, it’s easy to numb our minds and avoid thinking about things that are uncomfortable to confront. But, Michael Easter says letting your mind go to uncomfortable places is important for happiness. Read on for a practical discussion about this internal discomfort and the benefits that thinking about death can offer.

How Shelly Knotek’s Daughters Survived Their Childhood

How Shelly Knotek’s Daughters Survived Their Childhood

How did Shelly Knotek abuse her daughters? How did the young victims escape the horrific abuse? If You Tell by Gregg Olsen explores the various ways in which Shelly Knotek abused her victims along with her husband Dave’s help. Her first victims were her three daughters—Nikki, Sami, and Tori—and it took them years to finally get the help they needed to escape. Keep reading to learn what Shelly Knotek’s daughters had to endure during their childhood.