Challenges of Forecasting: Trying to Find the Signal in the Noise

Challenges of Forecasting: Trying to Find the Signal in the Noise

What are the challenges of forecasting? How has political and social fragmentation made forecasting harder? Today, many forecasters are facing extreme difficulty in doing their jobs. Nate Silver believes there are two reasons for this. First, people are being encouraged to sort themselves into insular groups. Second, our trust in experts is at an all-time low. Let’s look at why Silver believes forecasters can’t do their job accurately anymore.

How to Avoid Being Scammed Online and in Person

How to Avoid Being Scammed Online and in Person

Has a deal ever seemed too good to be true? How can you avoid being scammed? In one of the last phases of their game, con artists will try to get you to double down on the deal you’re making with them. This is probably the point that you’ve suspected something’s a little fishy, so they’ll do everything in their power to keep you on board. Here’s how to avoid being scammed and manipulated.

How Shelly Knotek’s Daughters Survived Their Childhood

How Shelly Knotek’s Daughters Survived Their Childhood

How did Shelly Knotek abuse her daughters? How did the young victims escape the horrific abuse? If You Tell by Gregg Olsen explores the various ways in which Shelly Knotek abused her victims along with her husband Dave’s help. Her first victims were her three daughters—Nikki, Sami, and Tori—and it took them years to finally get the help they needed to escape. Keep reading to learn what Shelly Knotek’s daughters had to endure during their childhood.

How to Get Better at Meditation: 2 Tips & the Science Behind Them

How to Get Better at Meditation: 2 Tips & the Science Behind Them

Are you disappointed in your meditation routine? How might you get better at meditation and enjoy it more? If you’re new to meditation, you might feel dispirited at how much time and effort it takes to master it. While it takes time to get a stable routine down, it’ll all be worth it when you start to notice stellar results. Here’s how to get better at meditation, with tips from The Mind Illuminated.

Consider the Possibilities: Don’t Let the Unlikely Surprise You

The Millionaire Next Door Formula for Net Worth

Why is it important to consider all possibilities when making predictions? How has narrow-minded thinking caused catastrophic events in the past? Nate Silver’s book The Signal and the Noise argues that, when mathematically forecasting the future, it’s important to consider the possibilities that you don’t even think would happen. Doing so at least takes these events into account, and it could prevent bad outcomes. Here’s why every possibility should be accounted for.

The 3 Ways to Overcome Barriers to a Healthy Lifestyle

The 3 Ways to Overcome Barriers to a Healthy Lifestyle

Do you have trouble sticking to a workout routine? Do you struggle to maintain a healthy diet? What are common barriers to a healthy lifestyle? Working out every day isn’t easy, but The Expectation Effect by David Robson contends that the reason is more psychological than physical. If you convince yourself that you’re not able to get the workout done, then you’ll never be motivated to finish it. Here are the psychological barriers to a healthy lifestyle that many people face and how to overcome them.