The Art and Science of Prediction

Ranked #11 in Risk Management, Ranked #12 in Probabilitysee more rankings.

New York Times Bestseller

An Economist Best Book of 2015

"The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."
Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal
Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even...

Reviews and Recommendations

We've comprehensively compiled reviews of Superforecasting from the world's leading experts.

Vinod Khosla Co-Founder/Sun MicrosystemRecommends this book

Vinod Khosla Co-Founder/Sun MicrosystemRecommends this book

Sheil Kapadia Read the book Superforecasting, had a great conversation with @bcmassey and came up with seven ideas for how NFL teams can try to find small edges during the draft process. Would love to hear feedback on this one. (Source)

Julia Galef [Has] some good advice on how to improve your ability to make accurate predictions. (Source)

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