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Russia and Ukraine emerged as sovereign states, each charting their own course in the political landscape following the dissolution of the Soviet Union.

In this section, Serhii Plokhy analyzes the internal dynamics that culminated in the dissolution of the Soviet Union. The author describes the collapse of the Soviet Union as the catalyst for the emergence of multiple independent states, including Ukraine and Russia. The author's work is fundamentally based on the idea that the roots of the later conflicts over Ukraine's position between Russia and Western countries can be traced back to the separate political paths Ukraine and Russia embarked upon in the 1990s.

Ukraine's choice to become independent was a pivotal factor in the eventual collapse of the Soviet Union.

The author challenges the traditional perspectives on the collapse of the Soviet Union, highlighting that the pivotal element was Ukraine's choice to pursue sovereignty. Plokhy argues that the idea of a Soviet Union devoid of Ukraine was unimaginable to both Gorbachev and Yeltsin, considering Ukraine's position as a major republic and its deep entwinement with the historical, cultural, and religious narratives that were central to Russian empire-building and Soviet thought. The author elaborates on how the determination of Russia to retain its grip on Ukraine played a substantial role in the disintegration of the Soviet Union.

The referendum for sovereignty marked a critical juncture, demonstrating Ukraine's aspiration for autonomous governance, which played a significant role in the peaceful dissolution of the Soviet Union.

On the first day of December in 1991, a resounding 92 percent of voters in Ukraine expressed their support for independence by casting their ballots. The election saw an impressive turnout, with more than 84 percent of eligible voters participating, even from the Donbas area in Ukraine, which is typically recognized for its leanings towards Russia. In Ukraine's Donbas area, which lies close to the western border of Russia and is marked by a substantial number of Russian-speaking inhabitants and a notable presence of ethnic Russians, the vote supporting self-governance approached an 84 percent approval rate. Gorbachev was taken aback by the results, whereas Yeltsin, whose advisers had briefed him on the likely results before the referendum in Ukraine, foresaw the outcome. Ukraine's affirmative vote was a critical factor that influenced Yeltsin to abandon the concept of renewing the Soviet Union, which consequently resulted in the creation of the Commonwealth of Independent States. The writer depicts the plebiscite as indicative of Ukraine's aspiration to break away from Russian influence, demonstrating that the Soviet Union's disintegration could transpire peacefully.

Practical Tips

  • Engage in online forums or social media groups that discuss current political events. Actively participate in polls and discussions to see how your opinion aligns with the group's consensus. This will help you understand the dynamics of public opinion formation, akin to the widespread support for Ukrainian independence in 1991.
  • Create a personal project to encourage voter participation within your circle by starting a voter registration drive. Inform your friends, family, and neighbors about the importance of voting and assist them in registering if they haven't already. You can set up a small booth at local community events or simply share registration resources via social media. By taking these steps, you're actively working to boost voter engagement and potentially increase turnout in future elections.
  • Create a personal survey to gauge your friends' and family's opinions on self-governance. Craft questions that probe their understanding and feelings about the autonomy of regions or communities, then compare the results to the Donbas statistic. This can help you understand the diversity of opinions within your own circle and spark further conversations about governance and political leanings.
  • You can enhance your decision-making by keeping a surprise journal where you note down unexpected outcomes in your daily life. This practice will help you become more aware of your assumptions and improve your ability to anticipate different results. For example, if you expected traffic to be light at a certain time but it was heavy, write it down and consider what factors you might have overlooked.
  • Improve your critical thinking by practicing "pre-mortem" assessments on upcoming projects or decisions. Before you begin a new project, take time to imagine it has failed and work backward to determine what could lead to that failure. This exercise can help you identify potential risks and address them before they happen, akin to a safety drill preparing you for an emergency.
  • Use scenario analysis for future big decisions to anticipate various outcomes. Before making a choice, write down several possible scenarios and their potential impacts. If you're thinking about moving to a new city, create scenarios ranging from the most positive to the most challenging outcomes and consider how each would affect your life trajectory.
  • You can learn from historical events by creating a personal "Referendum Journal" to make decisions. When facing a significant personal choice, write down the pros and cons, and like a sovereign state, give yourself a 'vote' to decide the outcome. This mirrors the process of a referendum and helps you practice making decisions with clarity and conviction.

In the 1990s, while autocratic governance was becoming more entrenched in Russia, Ukraine succeeded in preserving its democratic structure.

During the 1990s, Russia and Ukraine embarked on separate journeys, forging...

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The Russo-Ukrainian War Summary The conflict over sway in Ukraine, highlighting Russia's efforts to reassert dominance and the resulting tensions, epitomizes the larger geopolitical competition between Russia and Western nations.

In this section, Plokhy examines the rise of a new dispute between Russia and Ukraine over Ukraine's geopolitical path following the collapse of the Soviet Union, with Russia considering Ukraine's independence as a temporary obstacle and attempting to bring it back under its control, while Ukraine increasingly turned to Western countries for assistance to counterbalance Russia's attempts to regain control. For Plokhy, the struggle between geopolitical forces is shaped by deep-rooted disparities in how Russians and Ukrainians view their history, culture, and national identity, a discord that, in the author's perspective, originates from the collapse of the Russian Empire and the events of the 1917 Bolshevik Revolution, a period when the idea of Ukrainian self-governance began to gain recognition among nationalist groups as well as the wider Ukrainian population.

The strategic importance of the Crimean Peninsula for Ukraine and Russia is not limited to political and cultural aspects but also includes Russia's attempts to integrate Crimea in the 1990s.

Crimea serves as a powerful symbol of the complex mix of political, historical, and cultural tensions that are present in the...

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The Russo-Ukrainian War Summary In 2022, Russian troops entered Ukraine, an event that, along with ongoing conflicts, Ukraine's resistance, and the response from Western countries.

The section describes how Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 initiated a series of developments that culminated in widespread warfare by 2022. The author depicts how Russia's hostile approach to Ukraine has changed the historical paths of both countries and transformed the geopolitical contours of Europe and the world. In Plokhy's perspective, the strife originates from Putin's ambition to enlarge his dominion and his fruitless attempts to integrate Ukraine into a broader political framework, along with his unwavering determination to preserve a strong sway over Ukraine. The narrative portrays the struggle of a nascent state to establish its autonomy.

The onset of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine began with the 2014 annexation of Crimea, demonstrating Russia's readiness to use its armed forces to advance its strategic interests and underscoring the failure of the Budapest Memorandum to protect Ukraine's independence.

Plokhy challenges the widespread belief that the hostilities between Russia and Ukraine began in February 2022, arguing instead that the true onset was marked by the Russian military's seizure of the Crimean parliamentary building on February 27, 2014....

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The Russo-Ukrainian War Summary The global consequences of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine have altered the dynamics of global power and also affected Russia's relations with China and other countries.

Plokhy considers the strife in Ukraine to be a major force in transforming the global energy market and shifting geopolitical relations since the Cold War's conclusion.

The confrontation in Ukraine has become a critical factor in igniting a global energy crisis and altering the patterns of international energy trade, forcing Russia to sell its oil and gas to China and India at discounted rates, which in turn places China at the forefront of those affected by the war's outcomes.

The writer describes the dispute as the main catalyst for global energy scarcities and a significant element in altering the patterns of international energy distribution. Serhii Plokhy argues that as a result of sanctions and worldwide exclusion, Russia is compelled to sell its hydrocarbon resources to Asian markets, particularly China, at discounted rates, thereby providing China with a beneficial position in this arrangement.

Turkey's role in addressing the grain crisis has been pivotal, enhancing its regional influence through capitalizing on Ukraine's resistance and Russia's international isolation to further Turkish interests in both countries.

The author depicts Turkey as evolving into...

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