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Governments consistently making errors

In "The March of Folly," Barbara W. Tuchman scrutinizes the tendency of governments to consistently embrace strategies that contradict their own best interests. She characterizes such scenarios as instances where decision-makers in positions of authority persist in adopting policies that are clearly detrimental to the state's welfare or the interests of its populace, even when they have the necessary information and viable alternatives that could result in better consequences. Tuchman contends that throughout history, societies have repeatedly adopted policies that turn out to be detrimental, frequently motivated by individual aspirations, political maneuvering, or a significant absence of ethical direction, resulting in outcomes that are both catastrophic and enduring.

Tuchman argues that it is essential for both leaders and the general populace to grasp the origins and impacts of poor government decisions. We can strive to enhance our discernment and strengthen our ethical bravery, making every effort not to repeat mistakes that history has already witnessed. Throughout the book, she utilizes a wide array of historical examples, stretching from ancient times through the modern era, to illustrate the prevalence of folly and its devastating impact on societies.

Historical Examples: Illustrating the Adoption of Strategies that Ultimately Thwarted Their Own Goals.

Tuchman presents numerous historical examples where leaders have pursued policies that ultimately undermined their own goals. The narrative that encompasses the tale of Troy's wooden horse, along with occurrences such as the Vietnam War, illustrates the timelessness and universality of folly, unaffected by geographic boundaries or governmental structures. In her analysis of different cases, she reveals recurring themes and patterns in flawed decision-making that have consistently put the prosperity and safety of nations and their inhabitants at risk.

Rehoboam's choice to ignore wise counsel led to the division of Israel and ensuing periods of conflict.

Barbara W. Tuchman uses the biblical story of Rehoboam to show how a leader's arrogance can lead to ignoring sound counsel, resulting in decisions that undermine their own objectives. Upon his rise to Israel's monarchy, Rehoboam, the son of Solomon, faced discontent from the northern tribes, who were dissatisfied with the heavy taxation and forced labor imposed by Solomon. Representatives from the northern region presented Rehoboam with a deal: lighten their load in return for their sustained loyalty. Despite the advice of his elder counselors who recommended he consider the entreaties of his subjects, Rehoboam, driven by the vigor of youth and an eagerness to assert his authority, chose to follow the advice of his peers, promising to enforce a more rigorous rule.

This rash decision immediately provoked the secession of the ten northern tribes, dividing the kingdom of Israel and igniting a protracted conflict that weakened both sides, ultimately leading to their conquest by neighboring powers. Tuchman illustrates through this example that the personal vanity and aspirations of a leader can overshadow pragmatic considerations and informed counsel, culminating in choices that have disastrous outcomes.

Context

  • The story of Rehoboam is found in the Hebrew Bible, specifically in the books of 1 Kings and 2 Chronicles, where it serves as a moral lesson on the importance of humility and the dangers of ignoring wise advice.
  • The choice to follow his peers' advice highlights a generational divide in leadership styles, with younger advisors possibly advocating for more aggressive policies compared to the seasoned wisdom of older counselors.
  • Solomon's extensive building projects, including the Temple in Jerusalem, had placed a heavy financial burden on the populace, exacerbating tensions between the northern and southern regions.
  • The divided kingdoms were more vulnerable to external threats. The northern kingdom of Israel was eventually conquered by the Assyrian Empire in 722 BCE, while the southern kingdom of Judah fell to the Babylonian Empire in 586 BCE.
  • In ancient Near Eastern societies, kings were often expected to demonstrate strength and decisiveness. Rehoboam's choice to adopt a harsher stance may have been influenced by cultural norms that equated strong leadership with authoritarian rule.
  • Tuchman’s use of Rehoboam’s story can be compared to other historical examples where leaders ignored counsel, such as the fall of the Roman Empire or the missteps leading to World War I, highlighting a recurring pattern in history.
The collapse of the Aztec Empire was partly due to the indecisiveness of its ruler, which allowed a modest contingent of Spanish invaders to prevail.

The writer contrasts Rehoboam's impetuous decisions with Montezuma's reluctance when Spain invaded Mexico. Montezuma's leadership was characterized by damaging indecision, failing to take decisive action when confronted with the minor contingent of invaders from Spain under the command of Hernán Cortés. Haunted by premonitions of his empire's downfall, Montezuma permitted the Spaniards to enter Tenochtitlan, succumbing to his own uncertainties and hesitancy, even though he commanded a sufficiently large military force to hinder their advance.

Despite their evident pursuit of wealth and severe actions, Montezuma remained inactive, seemingly resigned to his fate with the indigenous people of the Aztec civilization. Tuchman suggests that the Aztec emperor's inaction stemmed from a steadfast adherence to his religious beliefs, which clouded his ability to recognize the actual situation and the choices available to him, ultimately leading to the downfall of his empire and the destruction of his civilization.

Practical Tips

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The March of Folly Summary Contributors to governmental blunders

Tuchman identifies several recurring factors that contribute to governments' habitual blunders. The array of reasons encompasses personal quests for dominance, placing political gain above all, an absence of moral guidance, and the disregard for the well-being of those who are ruled. In her examination, she explores the motivations behind the consistent decisions of leaders from different times and places to implement strategies that proved to be detrimental.

Personal Aspirations and Flaws of Individual Leaders: An Examination of How Personal Ambitions and Shortcomings Promote Policies That Undermine Their Own Objectives.

Tuchman often argues that the root of folly lies in the self-serving agendas of leaders who prioritize their personal progress, power, and prestige over the nation's welfare and the populace's requirements. Her examination of historical figures, including the Renaissance popes, Louis XIV, Charles X, George III, Lyndon Johnson, and Richard Nixon, clearly demonstrates this point. Each of these instances highlights the dangers that arise when individuals in positions of power succumb to the allure of power, personal gain, or the inability to recognize their...

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The March of Folly Summary The involvement of the United States in Vietnam serves as a prime example of defective governmental decision-making mechanisms.

Tuchman's examination of the United States' participation in Vietnam offers a detailed and poignant portrayal of governmental folly in the 20th century. She argues that the decision to engage and the following escalations were the result of a series of poor decisions, the exacerbation of fears, and an inability to recognize the true situation both internationally and at home. Moreover, she underscores that successive administrations continued to employ strategies that repeatedly proved unsuccessful, disregarding the mounting evidence of their futility, driven by the desire to maintain political agendas and an entrenched unwillingness to admit defeat.

The investigation delves into how exaggerated views of potential dangers shaped strategic choices, particularly with regard to fears about the spread of communism and the implications of the Domino Theory.

Tuchman argues that the United States' entry into the Vietnam conflict was primarily driven by an overblown fear of Communist expansion, rationalized by the belief that if one country succumbed to Communism, it would lead to a chain reaction of similar collapses in neighboring nations. She contends that the domino theory...

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The March of Folly Summary The text offers a broader perspective and cautions.

Barbara Tuchman's examination of historical blunders in governance serves as a stark warning to both those in power and their constituents. She emphasizes that the issue of imprudence is a constant challenge in the realm of governance, transcending different periods, places, and systems of government, continuing to be a repetitive obstacle in the annals of human history. In her work, she aims to underscore the tendency of leaders to err in decision-making and to cultivate the moral courage necessary to prevent such mistakes from recurring.

The Perils of State Mismanagement: Highlighting Its Persistent and Widespread Impact Across Various Forms of Governance

Tuchman highlights the recurring issue of governments embracing policies that conflict with their own best interests, which is observed across different types of administrations. Whether governed by a solitary ruler or a small group, those in power often share similar aspirations, fear appearing weak, show a similar indifference to the real situation, and lack the moral courage to admit mistakes and change course. Throughout a variety of historical periods, her examples underscore the constant threat of poor judgment...

The March of Folly

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