This section of the book scrutinizes how societies often spiral into decline due to a pattern of naivety and rash decisions, emphasizing the dire outcomes that ensue when communities become excessively confident and fail to recognize the dangers presented by their foes. Hanson suggests that the civilizations of Thebes, Carthage, Constantinople, and Tenochtitlán all fell because they misunderstood the severity of the threats they faced.
Hanson meticulously dissects the flawed assessments made by doomed civilizations regarding their adversaries. Thebes did not acknowledge the revolutionary might of Alexander the Great's Macedonian army, choosing instead to depend on the well-known prowess of its conventional hoplite soldiers. Carthage failed to fully recognize the burgeoning power and unyielding quest for dominance of its adversary, despite experiencing defeats in the first two Punic Wars.
The Byzantines, despite their millennium-long history of repelling invaders, grew complacent about the rising Ottoman threat, relying on outdated diplomatic strategies and failed to fully recognize the determination and combat capabilities of the ascending Ottoman ruler. The Aztecs, initially in awe of the Spanish's technological progress, failed to adapt their combat tactics and were consequently defeated by the superior weaponry of the Spanish, along with the resolute tenacity of Cortés.
Hanson explores a consistent motif: the enthralling lure of optimism, which is frequently confused with an excessive dependence on external assistance or a misguided conviction in the infallibility of one's safeguards. The Thebans, who were under great pressure, clung to the vain hope of a widespread Greek revolt that failed to take shape and erroneously placed their trust in their city's fortifications, which proved to be insufficient against Alexander's expertise in siege warfare. Despite its formidable defenses, Carthage miscalculated its resilience to a drawn-out siege, failing to consider the relentless determination of the Roman troops and the strategic brilliance of Scipio Aemilianus in cutting off vital supply lines.
Constantinople, having overestimated the invulnerability of the Theodosian Walls, awaited a Western crusade that failed to materialize with sufficient force, ultimately falling to the overwhelming might of the Ottoman siege and the tactical brilliance of Mehmet II. The Aztecs, who had cleverly established their metropolis on an islet within Lake Texcoco, did not completely recognize the significance of the Spanish naval capabilities, which eventually led to their entrapment and suffering due to famine and illness in what was once deemed an impregnable urban stronghold. The author argues that a significant factor contributing to their downfall was their reliance on hopeful strategies rather than an accurate assessment of their adversaries' capabilities and an acknowledgment of their own limitations.
Hanson underscores that civilizations teetering on the edge of downfall frequently display a mix of hubris and self-satisfaction, as their rulers remain overly absorbed in past victories, blind to the gravity of their situation. The Theban commanders, emboldened by their past victories, erred in assessing their capacity to withstand the forces of Macedonia and did not acknowledge the importance of adjusting to the innovative combat tactics instituted by Philip II. The Carthaginian leadership, shaken by previous losses and confident in their ability to recover, did not understand the depth of Roman hostility and the steadfast determination of the Senate to utterly prevent Carthage from ever becoming a threat again.
Despite his background in commanding military units, Emperor Constantine XI of the Byzantine Empire failed to grasp the full scope of Mehmet II's resolute objectives and war preparations, continuing to rely on diplomatic tactics that were previously successful but had...
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This passage highlights the relentless efficiency of conquerors whose superior military capabilities and absolute dedication to unbridled warfare ensure the total eradication of their opponents. Hanson delivers a comprehensive description of the ruthless strategies employed in sieges and assaults, depicting the unyielding severity of military conflicts throughout ancient and early modern periods.
Hanson emphasizes the formidable power that invaders possessed to overcome defenses that appeared to be insurmountable. Alexander the Great commanded a Macedonian force that was exceptionally well-prepared and utilized superior tactics and weaponry to breach the formidable defenses of Thebes within a single day, showcasing the profound influence of the military transformations instituted by his father, Philip II. The Romans, utilizing their vast manpower and sophisticated...
This final section underscores the profound interconnectedness of global communities, highlighting how the loss of a single society can precipitate substantial shifts across the globe, impacting both the material wealth and the shared consciousness of humankind. Hanson utilizes his vast historical expertise to link the destinies of these apparently unrelated civilizations with crucial changes in the balance of global power, commercial pathways, and cultural movements.
Hanson emphasizes that when a leading nation collapses, it frequently transforms the entrenched economic and trade frameworks. The obliteration of Thebes paved the way for Alexander the Great's sweeping conquests, which marked the beginning of the Hellenistic era and the widespread dissemination of Greek culture deep into Asia, thereby transforming the commerce...
The End of Everything
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