This is a preview of the Shortform book summary of How Big Things Get Done by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner.
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The subpar results of significant initiatives call for a novel strategy.

Despite the significant investment in major projects, their track record suggests a pressing need for a novel approach.

Megaprojects frequently experience significant budget excesses, prolonged timelines, and disappointments in realizing the anticipated advantages.

Before the 1990s, there was a lack of organized gathering or evaluation of data pertaining to large-scale projects with budgets exceeding one billion dollars. The California high-speed rail initiative is frequently mentioned as a prime example of a project that fell short of meeting its objectives. Megaprojects often face unforeseen challenges, such as unanticipated geological problems and the financial failure of contractors, leading to delays, rising expenses, and sometimes the failure to achieve expected results. Montreal's Olympic Stadium and Seattle's subterranean roadway both incurred substantial financial excesses and were subject to postponements.

Initiatives of considerable magnitude frequently encounter obstacles that may not be immediately obvious, owing to their broad reach and complex characteristics.

Large-scale projects often...

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How Big Things Get Done Summary Cognitive and governmental predispositions lead to hasty and defective preparation.

Leaders of projects often overlook the need for thorough and pragmatic planning due to cognitive biases like overconfidence and the conviction that their project is one of a kind.

The management of significant initiatives often faces challenges because decisions and expectations are disconnected from actuality, a result of the substantial impact of psychological optimism. Individuals frequently misjudge the duration and resources required for tasks, even though past experiences suggest caution. Decision-makers frequently opt for immediate action due to the cognitive shortcut known as "availability bias," rather than devising a strategic approach with deliberate consideration.

Individuals frequently create plans grounded on overly optimistic assumptions, leading to a simplified view of the challenges they may face and an inflated anticipation of the potential results.

Project managers frequently make overly optimistic assumptions in their forecasts, leading to a lack of focus on the substantial likelihood of potential risks associated with the project, ultimately leading to rushed or flawed...

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How Big Things Get Done Summary One of the numerous planning strategies includes the method that utilizes a reference category for forecasting. This method enables the creation of detailed and thorough plans.

In the pursuit of success, meticulous planning stands paramount amongst strategies. Pixar is renowned for its detailed and reliable planning process, characterized by a method of consistent improvement paired with an approach that ensures plans are meticulously examined and refined. The upcoming discourse presents an in-depth exploration of these methodologies.

Pixar rigorously examines and refines its strategies for managing inventive endeavors.

Quickly Creating Rough Prototypes and Getting Feedback Allows Pixar to Identify and Resolve Issues Early

The method employed by Pixar, which blends creative genius with scrupulous planning, is primarily credited to Ed Catmull, one of the studio's initial founders. Pixar begins a film project by condensing the fundamental story idea into a summary spanning twelve pages. A diverse group of employees from the company, encompassing directors and executives, thoroughly reviews and evaluates the initial idea, resulting in a succession of improvements and advancements.

Creating a Pixar film is a cyclical endeavor encompassing scriptwriting, storyboard crafting, video simulation, and employee-led screenings with added dialogue and...

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How Big Things Get Done Summary The successful execution of major projects relies heavily on the collective expertise of experienced teams and their use of specialized approaches.

The article emphasizes that major projects are more likely to succeed when they involve teams with considerable experience and when they adopt a strategy of breaking down the design process into manageable segments.

Teams and leaders deeply versed in their expertise are often more likely to bring significant initiatives to a successful completion.

The author argues that teams combining their collective skills and a history of successful collaborations are well-prepared to navigate the intricacies of significant projects. The strength of these collectives stems from their pooled knowledge and the tacit agreement that evolves into an instinctive ability to navigate complex problems.

Possessing pertinent expertise is considered crucial. The seasoned management team was instrumental in the success of architect Frank Gehry and also in the realization of Heathrow's Terminal 5. The California high-speed rail project encountered setbacks due to a shortage of contractors and...

How Big Things Get Done Summary Forming a team solely focused on realizing the project's goals.

Fostering a Strong Shared Identity and Purpose Aligns Diverse Participants Toward Common Goals

Prioritizing the project's overarching objective over the individual participants promotes a unified team spirit.

It is essential to form a unified and determined group when assembling a team with the requisite experience is not an option. The prioritization of the project's success over the interests of individual companies was a key focus for the British Airports Authority during the construction of Terminal 5 at Heathrow. Your team, identified as T5, operates independently from the larger entity. Our unity forms a single team. The approach utilized visual prompts and messaging to motivate employees to place the project's goals ahead of their own company's interests. To instill a feeling of pride and connection with a significant project, posters likened Terminal 5 to renowned structures, declaring, "We're also part of creating history."

Boosting team spirit and cooperation is achieved by empowering employees, offering outstanding support, and acknowledging advancements.

The workers adopted the standards linked to the project, enhancing the execution process. All...

How Big Things Get Done

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Cognitive biases like overconfidence are systematic patterns of deviation from rationality in judgment, where individuals tend to overestimate their own abilities, knowledge, or the accuracy of their beliefs. This bias can lead to decisions made with unwarranted certainty, disregarding potential risks or challenges. Overconfidence bias can result in underestimating the time, resources, or complexities involved in a project, impacting planning and decision-making processes. It often stems from a natural inclination to view oneself or one's ideas more favorably than objective evidence might suggest.
  • Reference-Class Forecasting is a method that predicts the outcome of a planned action by analyzing similar past situations. It helps in making more accurate forecasts by considering actual outcomes from comparable actions. This approach aims to counteract human biases like overconfidence and insufficient consideration of...

Counterarguments

  • While novel strategies are important, it's also crucial to recognize the value of learning from past mistakes and improving existing methodologies rather than always seeking entirely new approaches.
  • Budget excesses and delays in megaprojects can sometimes be due to external factors beyond the control of the project managers, such as economic downturns or political instability.
  • The figure of 8.5% of initiatives staying within original timelines and budgets may not account for the complexity and evolving nature of large projects, where initial estimates can often be unrealistic.
  • Reference-Class Forecasting, while useful, may not always account for unique aspects of new projects that have no historical precedent,...

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