Born into poverty, Billy Walters ultimately became one of the most successful sports bettors in US history, accruing a net worth north of $100 million. As a 2023 inductee to the Circa Sports Betting Hall of Fame, Walters helped shape the modern sports betting landscape as well as the sports betting theory used by professionals. In his autobiography, Gambler, Walters reveals the secrets behind his approach to sports betting, detailing how he created a betting operation that consistently profited millions of dollars annually in Las Vegas. Along the way, he details his own life story that saw a boy from rural Kentucky, struggling with gambling and alcohol addictions,...
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Growing up in small-town Kentucky, Walters’s childhood was marred by poverty and the absence of a father figure, as his own father died when he was 16 months old. In this section, we’ll delve deeper into Walters’s early life, exploring what his childhood looked like in rural Kentucky and how his adolescence shifted after he moved with his mother to Louisville.
Walters was born in 1946 and grew up in extreme poverty in rural Kentucky. According to Walters, he was regularly exposed to alcohol and gambling even as a child. That exposure, along with a family history of addiction, laid the foundation for his later alcoholism and gambling addiction.
Walters writes that a neighbor offered him moonshine—a strong, traditionally homemade liquor and a Kentucky staple—when he was only 10 years old. Around the same age, he began spending hours in local pool bars, where grown men regularly drank alongside him and his friends.
He adds that sports betting was a common pastime in these bars, so they marked his introduction to the gambling world. In one instance, Walters bet $125 on the New York Yankees to win the 1955 World Series; at the time, that $125...
Walters’s time as a young adult was characterized by endless work; he had to make child support payments to Sharon, support his new family with Carol, and sustain his gambling addiction. In this section, we’ll explore how Walters became extraordinarily successful as a car salesman and bookmaker before spiraling into debt, divorcing Carol, and moving to Las Vegas with his third wife, Susan.
(Shortform note: Data shows that more than 60% of second marriages in the US end in divorce. Psychotherapist Stacian Watts says this is because divorcees tend to leap into a second marriage without taking time to reflect on what went wrong with their first one, and how they contributed to the divorce. As evidenced by the fact that Walters married Carol on the first day he was legally able to do so (the day after his divorce with Sharon was finalized), it seems likely that he also fell into this trap. Indeed, as we’ll discuss shortly, his second marriage fell apart for much the same reasons as his first.)
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In Las Vegas, Walters became famous for his success as a professional sports bettor, where he earned tens of millions of dollars via purely legal gambling.
In this section we’ll focus on Walters’s sports betting career, first via his role in the betting syndicate known as the Computer Group, and later as the head of his own company, Sierra Sports Consulting.
According to Walters, his time in Las Vegas fundamentally shaped his approach to sports betting. In particular, he writes that he became a key member of the Computer Group, a sports betting syndicate that used complex computer modeling to beat Las Vegas betting lines—the bookmakers’ predictions about which teams would win and by how much.
By working with this group, Walters earned enough money to finally pay off his outstanding debt and then some. By the mid 1980s he had accumulated a net worth of $3.5 million.
(Shortform note: Walters mentions that the Computer Group’s modeling software was the foundation of the organization’s success, but he doesn’t go into much detail about how it worked. The software [analyzed numerous...
Between his time with the Computer Group and Sierra Sports Consulting, Walters developed a concrete approach to sports betting success. His approach has three components: handicapping, unit sizing, and betting strategy.
Handicapping, as we mentioned earlier, involves using computer modeling to predict the spread between any two teams (though Walters focuses on American football). Walters created a system in which teams have relative “power rankings" that estimate which team will have the advantage in any given game, and how large that advantage will be. For example, if the Cowboys are worth 45 points and the Cardinals are worth 38 points, the predicted spread would be seven points in the Cowboys’ favor.
Although Walters doesn’t provide an in-depth strategy for creating these power rankings, he does provide a few examples of how he ranked teams. For instance, he writes that home-field advantage is typically worth three points. Additionally, injuries to key players might be worth, one negative point each. So, for instance, if the Cowboys’ running back were injured, that team might have a power ranking of 44 points instead of 45 for their...
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Jerry McPheeThough Walters eventually developed a winning sports betting strategy, it wasn’t without hitches. Walters was raided by federal authorities, indicted multiple times, and even arrested for insider trading in 2017. In this section, we’ll discuss these brushes with the law as well as Walters’s time in prison and what he learned from it.
Walters’s first serious brush with the law came in 1985, when federal investigators came to suspect that the Computer Group was a massive, unsanctioned bookmaking operation.
According to Walters, the FBI sought to crack down on illegal bookmaking schemes in the 1980s. However, he clarifies that the Computer Group was actually a betting syndicate, meaning they were placing bets rather than taking them. This is a crucial point because placing bets, even as part of an organized group, is not against the law and does not require a state license like bookmaking does.
(Shortform note: Indicted members of the Computer Group, including Walters, publicly testified about their activities to emphasize that [nothing they'd done had been...
Now that you’ve read our guide to Billy Walters’s autobiography Gambler, take some time to think about his life, particularly the success he enjoyed and the hardships he faced as a professional sports bettor.
How familiar were you with Walters’s life before reading this guide? For example, had you heard about his impoverished upbringing, or did you only know him as a hugely successful sports bettor? Or, alternatively, perhaps you’d never heard of him at all before now.
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