The Man Who Predicted The Iran War: The Next 9/11 Will Target Your Bank Account! | Professor Jiang

Effective Tech Needs Specialization & Globalization

Jiang Xueqin presents a formula for technological progress: technological innovation equals specialization times globalization. This means that more countries must specialize in specific tasks or products and must be able to trade freely with each other. All technological progress—particularly in advanced industries—is premised on this collaboration and global trade. Without robust supply chains connecting multiple countries, innovation withers.

The example of semiconductors illustrates this interdependence. The manufacturing of computer chips depends on three critical elements: silicon, [restricted term], and germanium. China produces about 60-70% of the world’s silicon, 70% of the [restricted term], and 90% of the germanium. The United States, primarily in California, is responsible for chip design—companies like Nvidia and Apple lead the industry. These designs are sent to Taiwan and Malaysia for production. For actual chip printing, highly specialized lithography machines from the Netherlands (notably ASML) and Japan are required. Assemblers in Taiwan and Malaysia use these machines, while finalized chips are often sent to China to be integrated into various appliances before global distribution. Each stage—material extraction, design, equipment, assembly, and device manufacturing—depends on seamless international trade. Technology, in effect, is impossible without globalized collaboration.

However, the drive toward national self-sufficiency, typically in response to conflict or political division, undermines both specialization and globalization. During wartime or periods of heightened nationalism, countries attempt to build closed, generalist supply chains within their own borders. This leads to decreased innovation and stunted technological progress.

Petrodollar System Since 1971 Globalized Trade via US Dollar

After World War II, the United States created a global economic order where it loaned dollars to Europe and Japan to purchase exports, with repayment in gold. In 1971, President Nixon took the US dollar off the gold standard. To maintain global demand for the dollar, three pillars were established: the petrodollar system (Middle Eastern oil sold only in US dollars), China demanding dollars for its manufactured goods, and Japan sending its savings into US treasuries, especially after the "plastic cord" era of the mid-1980s.

Japan, for example, would import Middle Eastern energy, use it to manufacture consumer electronics, and export those products globally in exchange for dollars. China, Japan, and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) would invest their excess savings in US assets, especially treasury bonds. This system is premised on global trust—China supplies manufactured goods, Saudi Arabia supplies oil, and all parties support the dollar as a global reserve currency.

The backbone of globalization, and thus of technological advancement, is the petrodollar system—anchored by the US dollar and enforced by America's unrivaled military hegemony. After World War II, US military and economic supremacy created the Pax Americana, a period of relative global stability and open trade routes. The US dollar became a global contract and a symbol of credibility, with China, Japan, and Saudi Arabia recycling their earnings through the American financial system.

Disruption of this setup—either when oil stops flowing in dollars, manufactured goods can’t be exported, or parties lose faith in the dollar—threatens the entire system. Such a disruption would rapidly undermine globalization, halting the flow of capital and goods, and shaking the very foundation upon which technological innovation depends.

Wartime Supply Chain Collapse Threatens Technological Progress and Civilization

With the world entering a period of persistent conflict, Jiang warns that the mechanisms of globalization may break down beyond repair. The collapse of global supply chains threatens not only industry, but civilization itself. He argues that the Clean Break strategy and continuous regional wars have set in motion structural forces that will destroy the global trade system. It is bec ...

The world faces a convergence of regional conflicts and global power struggles, each driven by deep strategic imperatives, religious fervor, and new patterns of international support. Together, these pressures threaten global trade, stability, and alliances.

Iran-Centric Middle East Conflict and Proxies Pose Unprecedented Global Trade Threat Due to Coordinated Decentralization and International Support

Iran sits at the center of an expanding web of conflict, coordinating with decentralized Shia proxies—the IRGC in Iran, the Houthis in Yemen, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and various Iraqi Shia militias—that pose a persistent threat across the Middle East. These groups, religiously driven and fanatical, are geographically dispersed and difficult to eliminate by conventional military means. Their tactics echo the "forever wars" in Afghanistan and Iraq, where the United States expended vast resources but failed to neutralize decentralized insurgencies.

The Houthis exemplify this challenge: they are virtually invincible in their mountainous Yemeni strongholds and display a religious commitment to martyrdom, fighting to the death. Their control over the Baab el-Mandab Strait, a chokepoint at the entrance to the Red Sea, enables them to threaten global maritime trade. Likewise, Hezbollah threatens the Suez Canal, and Iraqi Shia militias can impact Mediterranean routes. These groups coordinate loosely but report back to the IRGC, expanding the conflict’s reach and intensifying uncertainty in global trade.

Saudi Arabia is acutely vulnerable, as the Houthis possess ballistic missiles and drones capable of attacking vital energy infrastructure, endangering the region's "lake of gasoline." The strategic focus of Iran and its proxies lies in their ability to create chaos by attacking at unpredictable points—Saudi Arabia, Israel, choke points along global shipping lanes—thereby undermining the global trading system.

China and Russia directly support Iran, prolonging these conflicts. China uses the Belt and Road Initiative to strengthen supply corridors to Iran, while Russia leverages the Caspian Sea, ensuring Iran and its proxies are resourced for indefinite conflict. This concerted support enables Iran’s coalition to sustain military operations without exhaustion, ensuring lasting disruption to critical maritime passages like the Straits of Hormuz and Baab el-Mandab. The result is persistent uncertainty and risk to global trade, including energy flows and shipping through the Red Sea and Suez Canal.

China and Japan Will Conflict Over Taiwan and Southeast Asian Resources Due to Geographic and Strategic Imperatives

A separate, looming conflict centers on East Asia, driven by longstanding and intensifying imperatives between China and Japan. China, historically an agriculturally based, self-sufficient land power, sees Japanese and allied encroachment—especially regarding Taiwan and the South China Sea—as existential. Japan, conversely, is a sea power wholly dependent on overseas resources and energy.

This dependence leaves Japan vulnerable to embargo if China were to control Taiwan and the South China Sea. Taiwanese reunification with China could grant Beijing the power to choke off Japan’s supply routes, an outcome Japanese leaders regard as intolerable. Japan’s need for secure access to Southeast Asia’s resources drives alliances with India, the Philippines, Australia, South Korea, and possibly Taiwan and North Korea, all counterbalancing China’s growing dominance.

To exert pressure, China is likely to wield North Korea as a proxy, threatening both South Korea, whose population largely resides within striking distance of the North, and Japan directly, either through missile launches or instability in the region. The Philippines, as Japan’s primary proxy, also challenges Chinese naval control in the South China Sea.

Alliances are solidifying: China and Russia on one side; Japan, the Philippines, India, Australia, and South Korea on the other. As the United States retreats from the Asia-Pacific, it becomes strategically desirable for the US to foster tension between China and Japan, which weakens Chinese hegemony and redirects energy and semiconductor supply chains. For example, a worsening of China-Japan tension encourages the relocation of the Taiwanese semiconductor industry to the US, illustrated by major investments such as TSMC’s new Arizona facility.

Russia May Provoke Nato and Europe as Ukraine Attrition Strategy Fails Against European Capacity

In Ukraine, entrenched conflict and Western support are forcing Russia into a strategic corner. Ukraine is attacking Russian energy infrastructure with Wester ...

Water Scarcity to Create Geopolitical Flashpoints Globally

Maps that highlight regions of severe water stress align closely with existing and potential geopolitical tensions, signaling that in the next 20 years, water scarcity will likely drive new conflicts. Key global hotspots include the Middle East, the India-China border, and Northeast Asia around Japan and North Korea, all of which face mounting water shortages. In the Middle East, the threat resembles a powder keg, with water scarcity set to exacerbate regional strife and existing hostilities.

In the United States, water issues are already sparking conflict among western states such as Colorado, California, and Arizona, all fighting over dwindling supplies from the Colorado River. The fact that even wealthy nations like the U.S. are embroiled in water disputes foreshadows future water wars amid accelerating climate change.

High Fertility in Africa, Middle East Scarcity May Overwhelm European Infrastructure

Africa currently has the world’s highest fertility rate, closely followed by the Middle East. These regions are not only highly fertile but also face acute geopolitical tensions and resource scarcity, making mass migration inevitable. As populations swell and young people encounter few economic opportunities, increasing numbers seek to migrate to Europe—a trend intensified when famine or deprivation strikes, as described in possible scenarios where populations from Iran or Africa may flee toward Europe in search of survival.

This influx would strain European infrastructure and the social fabric, as seen in previous crises following conflicts in Libya and Syria, which resulted in mass migration to Europe, significant social friction, and political polarization. European countries, already facing demographic decline and a rapidly aging population, especially in Japan, Europe, and North America, find themselves in urgent need of immigrant labor to provide affordable healthcare and services for the elderly.

However, this requirement collides head-on with the surge of right-wing political parties—such as Reform in the UK, AFD in Germany, MAGA in the United States, and Vox in Spain—whose main policy goal is to restrict immigration. The theoretical alternative of replacing immigrant labor with robots remains challenging as robotics production is critically dependent on elements like copper, lithium, silicon, and rare earths, largely sourced from or manufactured in a handful of countries with fragile supply chains. When trade networks falter, the most immediate, cost-effective solution is still human migration, as “people are much cheaper and much more expendable than robots.” Ultimately, Western nations are forced to choose between accepting large numbers of immigrants or facing economic stagnation and possible collapse of social services.

Bronze Age Collapse: How Cascading Crises Trigger Civilizational Breakdown Across an Interconnected World

The Bronze Age collapse serves as a powerful historical analogy for today’s vulnerabilities in an interconnected world. During that period, globalized trade united regions that required copper and tin from separate locations for bronze production, establishing a deeply integrated network of economic reliance. This interconnectedness bred inequality, debt, and polarization—issues that set the stage for widespread collapse when c ...

Jiang Xueqin presents a series of bold predictions for geopolitical crises potentially unfolding in the near future, ranging from domestic American turmoil to disruptive attacks on financial infrastructure and dramatic political change in Argentina.

Trump Third Term Could Spark Conflict, Federal Siege on NYC

Jiang Xueqin predicts Donald Trump will be in power after the 2028 US presidential election, speculating that on January 21, 2029, Trump will still be in the White House, effectively serving a third term. Despite the constitutional barrier—specifically the 22nd Amendment, which prohibits serving more than two terms—Jiang outlines possible ways this could be bypassed: either by Trump refusing to leave office during a declared national emergency and suspending the Constitution, similar to Lincoln’s suspension of habeas corpus and Roosevelt’s internment of Japanese Americans, or by running as vice president on a ticket with his son Don Jr., who could then resign after the election to allow Trump to resume the presidency.

Jiang stresses that many of the safeguards in US politics are based on convention and agreed-upon norms rather than hard enforcement, leaving room for dramatic departures under extreme circumstances. He suggests that Trump, if intent on maintaining power, could simply ignore these conventions, and there would be little recourse.

If this scenario occurs, Jiang foresees widespread political violence in the United States, especially in strongly Democratic cities like New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston, and Chicago. He predicts these cities would openly revolt by refusing to pay federal taxes and rejecting federal law enforcement actions, particularly attempts to enforce immigration policy through agencies like ICE. This would set up direct conflicts between local and federal authorities.

Within this turmoil, Jiang envisions New York City as the focal point of resistance due to its strong government, charismatic mayor Zohar Madani, and the fierce temperament of its residents. He predicts a siege, with federal forces—possibly backed by supportive state militias—cutting off food and water supplies to New York, creating a scenario akin to historical urban warfare. He believes this conflict could persist for years.

An Attack on US Financial Infrastructure Could Be More Psychologically Devastating Than 9/11 By Instantly Destroying Americans' Savings and Retirement Accounts

Jiang Xueqin’s second major prediction involves a catastrophic attack on the US financial infrastructure. He argues that, while the physical destruction of symbols like the World Trade Center and Pentagon traumatized Americans after 9/11, a direct cyberattack wiping out financial records and erasing bank account balances would be even more psychologically devastating.

He describes a scenario where, seemingly overnight, Americans trying to make simple purchases would discover their bank accounts empty, with no immediate hope of recovery. This, he asserts, would push people into panic and outrage, as decades of savings and retirement funds disappeared in an instant. Jiang contends that the trauma of such an event could provoke mass anger and potentially even greater self-destructive responses than those that followed 9/11, as the loss would touch every American household personally and simultaneously.

Jiang notes that foreign or hostile actors, seeking to maximize American trauma and destabilize the countr ...

Faith in God and Family Over Material Success or Politics Best Navigates Collapse

Jiang Xueqin advises that, above all, one must believe in God and focus on family to navigate times of collapse. He shares that despite having received the best education at Yale and rising from poverty through meritocracy, this pathway brought only anger and frustration rooted in a worldview that dismissed spirituality. He explains that worldly achievements and education pushed him toward secular materialism, convincing him that logic and science ruled and that God did not exist. The disillusionment following Brexit and Trump's election shattered his illusions about meritocracy and rationality, revealing deep chaos when these systems failed. This prompted a profound spiritual awakening in the past two years, moving from depression and anger to hope and purpose through renewed faith.

Jiang says that believing in God and prioritizing family instills a structural order in life and gives it meaning outside the pursuit of wealth and fame. He contends that the pursuit of material success, power, and fame erodes empathy, imagination, and love—the core qualities of being truly human. Instead, genuine connection is forged through love for others, nurtured especially in family. The presence of his wife and children brings not just hope but also a sense of responsibility to live truthfully and leave a legacy rooted in love and faith. He emphasizes that faith compels one to act with integrity and to speak the truth, even if it brings personal consequences; truthful living and speaking out are responsibilities inherent to real belief in God.

Jiang and Steven Bartlett agree that focusing on politics, protests, or hoping for systemic solutions is futile. Lasting fulfillment and the ability to withstand collapse are found by embracing faith, nurturing family bonds, and dedicating oneself to truth regardless of outcomes. Adversity or an uncertain future is met not with fear, but with love and steadfastness grounded in spiritual purpose.

Crisis From Collapse Will Serve a Spiritual Purpose By Forcing Humanity to Question What Matters

Jiang Xueqin argues that the crises born from the collapse of existing systems serve as catalysts for collective spiritual awakening. When abundance fades and survival becomes less certain, people are forced to deeply interrogate the meaning of life. He posits that in those moments, it becomes clear that love for others is the only truly satisfying and enduring answer. In deprivation and difficulty, people awaken to the insufficiency of wealth, status, or comfort for true fulfillment. Only struggle and suffering foster real spiritual growth—surpassing any accomplishment or possession.

Jiang describes cr ...