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In The Lean Startup, entrepreneur Eric Ries argues that your startup’s primary objective should be discovering what customers actually want and are willing to pay for, in an efficient and cost-effective way. Ries writes that this entails constant experimentation—you put something in front of customers, pay close attention to how they respond, and use that information to decide what to do next. This cycle repeats continuously as you feel your way toward a product people actually want.

In this guide, we’ll explore this repeating cycle of experimentation, covering how to 1) form a hypothesis about your customers, 2) put out a simple version of your product or service to test that hypothesis, 3) collect data and observations from how your customers react, and 4) adjust your strategy based on observed results. As we go through Ries’s experimental cycle, we’ll complement his analysis with insights from other experts in entrepreneurship and startup formation.

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To illustrate, let’s return to our hiking app example: You’ve hypothesized that hikers care most about trail crowdedness, and you’ve predicted that adding a crowdedness indicator will increase app use before weekend mornings. Now you need to build something to test this. The temptation might be to develop a sophisticated real-time crowdedness system that pulls data from trail cameras, parking lot sensors, and user check-ins—but that would take months and significant resources.

Instead, you create a simple feature where you manually update estimated crowdedness levels for a handful of popular local trails based on historical patterns and weather forecasts. It’s imperfect and limited in scope, but it lets you put something in front of real users within a week or two. And it can test your hypothesis: If hikers don’t engage with this rough version of the feature, you’ve at least learned something valuable without having invested heavily in infrastructure you might not need.

(Shortform note: One potential disadvantage of putting out a bare-bones test product is that its streamlined nature may not provide a comprehensive user experience or fully represent your idea. This could damage your brand if early adopters associate it with a primitive, stripped-down product. One alternative is the minimum marketable product or MMP. Rather than stripping a product down to its barest testable form, this strategy aims to deliver something polished enough to compete from day one. The product includes complete functionality rather than partial features, presents an attractive and sophisticated design rather than bare-bones usability, and launches with substantial marketing support rather than quiet experimentation.)

Experimental Cycle Step #3: Collect Your Data

Ries writes that once you’ve given customers the chance to interact with your test product, it’s time to collect data about how it performs. This is where you find out whether your hypothesis holds up in the real world. Let’s explore Ries’s tips for collecting actionable metrics—data you can use to prove or disprove your hypothesis. Specifically we’ll look at avoiding misleading metrics, tracking cohorts of customers, and using split testing.

Data-Collection Tip #1: Beware Misleading Metrics

Ries warns that it’s important to watch out for misleading metrics—measurements that create a false sense of progress by tracking numbers that naturally increase over time without reflecting actual improvement. Cumulative totals are a common pitfall: A product might gain the same number of users each week, making the total count grow steadily larger. While this expanding figure feels impressive, it masks the reality that the underlying growth rate hasn't changed at all.

(Shortform note: In How to Measure Anything, management consultant Douglas Hubbard writes that one way to avoid useless or misleading metrics is to define the scope of your measurement—what data you will and won’t collect. If you define your scope too broadly, you run the risk of collecting excessive data that doesn’t provide meaningful insights. If you define your scope too narrowly, you might miss important factors and fail to address the problem you’re trying to solve. Hubbard emphasizes three factors you must examine to define your measurement scope: 1) your current state of knowledge, 2) what you plan to do with your measurement, and 3) the degree to which reducing uncertainty about a specific factor would change your decision.)

Data-Collection Tip #2: Track Cohorts

According to Ries, an effective way to gauge progress is to organize your data into cohorts—groups of users who joined during the same time period—and examine each cohort individually. For example, you’d track all January signups as one group, February signups as another, and so on. This method tells you whether your recent work is actually making things better, or whether you’re just accumulating results from earlier momentum while your current performance stagnates.

Returning to our hiking app example, you’re not just celebrating that total feature views keep climbing week after week—logically, that number would have to go up as long as you have any users at all. But you’re testing your specific hypothesis by tracking whether users check the crowdedness indicator right before busy hiking times. To do that, you separate users into weekly groups based on when they downloaded the app: Week 1 users, Week 2 users, Week 3 users, and so on. Then you measure what percentage of each group checks crowdedness on Friday evenings and Saturday mornings.

If Week 1 shows 12% of users checking at those peak times, Week 2 shows 11%, and Week 3 shows 13%, your hypothesis isn’t being validated—you're essentially flat despite your efforts to promote the feature. But if those numbers read 12%, 18%, then 24%, then you’re seeing genuine improvement. Each new group of users is engaging with the feature more than the last, which suggests your recent changes are actually working.

(Shortform note: While separating users into time-based cohorts can reveal whether your metrics are genuinely improving, this approach has an important limitation: It shows you patterns but can’t definitively explain what’s causing them. Was it a specific feature you launched? A change in your onboarding process? Different marketing channels attracting higher-quality users? External factors like seasonal trends or economic conditions? The data reveals correlation—that something changed between these time periods—but not causation. We’ll explore this correlation/causation issue in greater detail later in the guide.)

Data-Collection Tip #3: Use Split Testing

Ries recommends using split testing: showing different versions of your product to different groups of users, then comparing what happens. This is because when your metrics improve after you make a change, you can’t automatically assume your change caused the improvement. Maybe external factors like seasonal trends or unexpected media attention are at play, or maybe it’s just a random variation. In other words, the timing of the improvement might be coincidental rather than causal.

By splitting your audience and measuring the results from each group separately, you eliminate the guesswork. Any outside factors will affect both groups equally, so the difference between them will reveal what your change actually accomplished. This approach gives you concrete evidence about what’s genuinely driving user behavior rather than just a hunch based on numbers that happened to move in the right direction.

For your hiking app, you might apply this method as follows: Half your users see a new notification system that alerts them when their favorite trails are less crowded, while the other half continue using the app without these alerts. After two weeks, you discover that the alert group opens the app four times per week on average, while the no-alert group opens it only 2.5 times per week. This gap tells you the alerts themselves are driving more engagement. You now have solid evidence that this specific feature changes how people use your product.

(Shortform note: Many experts believe random control trials (RCTs) offer more accurate results than split testing. According to Matthew Syed (Black Box Thinking), an RCT involves establishing a control and introducing a variable to measure its impact against the control. For example, to test a new landing page, you’d compare the performance of your current page, the control, with the new experimental design. In Measure What Matters, Hubbard notes that this kind of experimentation doesn’t require laboratory conditions, statistical sophistication, or a large research and development budget—it just requires systematically changing one specific variable while keeping everything else constant and measuring what happens.)

Experimental Cycle Step #4: Adjust Your Strategy Based on Results

After you’ve collected your data, writes Ries, you step back and evaluate the results of your experiment honestly. How accurate was your original belief? What surprised you? Based on what you’ve learned, should you continue your approach (maybe with a few small adjustments), or does the evidence suggest you should head in a different direction?

Ries writes that the feedback you get from your experimental cycle informs different strategic redirections you’ll need to make in the next round of experimentation. Strategic redirections take various forms, including feature concentration, scope expansion, and audience replacement.

Strategic Redirection #1: Feature Concentration

According to Ries, feature concentration means narrowing your product down to focus exclusively on one specific capability, rather than offering multiple features or broader functionality. You conduct this type of redirection when customers demonstrate strong enthusiasm for one particular capability within your broader offering. For example, say your hiking app started with multiple features—trail maps, weather forecasts, crowdedness indicators, and user reviews—but after testing, you discover that users overwhelmingly engaged with the crowdedness indicator while ignoring everything else. You then rebuild the app to focus solely on showing real-time trail crowdedness, eliminating the other features entirely.

(Shotform note: Concentrating on one feature also gives you the opportunity to gain a competitive advantage by offering something unique to the market. In Competitive Strategy, economist and Harvard Business School professor Michael Porter argues that the main advantage of a strategy based on novelty is that it acts as a defense against buyers looking for the cheapest deal. This is because, without comparable alternatives, buyers have no choice but to purchase from you—even if your prices are high. Additionally, offering something distinctive captures customer attention and cultivates loyalty among those who value uniqueness and are willing to pay premium prices for it.)

Strategic Redirection #2: Scope Expansion

According to Ries, scope expansion means broadening your product to incorporate substantially more capabilities, rather than keeping it minimal or focused on a single function. You conduct this type of redirection when customers find the basic version insufficient. For example, let’s say your hiking app initially just showed crowdedness indicators, but testing revealed that users kept opening other apps to check weather, trail conditions, and parking availability—then returning to your app. Based on this, you would expand the product to include all these additional features in one place, creating a comprehensive trail-planning tool rather than a single-purpose crowdedness tracker.

(Shortform note: Although it can make sense to expand the scope of your product, it’s possible to overdo it. In an effort to create the best product and please the widest audience, designers sometimes unintentionally overcomplicate a product by adding too many features. This is called “feature creep” or “scope creep,” and it can make your product harder to use than it was before. If you find that expanding your scope leads to worse metrics during your next experimental cycle, consider whether this is the cause.)

Strategic Redirection #3: Audience Replacement

According to Ries, audience replacement means redirecting your product toward a different customer type rather than continuing to serve your original target market. You conduct this type of redirection when your solution works well but serves the wrong market—often occurring when initial enthusiasts are exhausted and broader audiences require different approaches.

For example, your hiking app initially targeted casual weekend hikers who wanted to avoid crowds, but testing revealed lukewarm engagement from this group. However, you noticed that trail maintenance crews and park rangers were using the crowdedness data to plan their work schedules and allocate resources. You then reposition the app to serve these professional land managers, adding features like historical traffic patterns and predictive analytics that help them optimize staffing and maintenance operations.

(Shortform note: Alexander Osterwalder and Yves Pigneur (Business Model Generation) suggest that you may have more than one core audience, what they call “customer segments.” This may be the case if you find that you need to create different products and services to meet their needs, reach them through different channels of distribution, develop different types of relationships with them, or adapt your pricing structures to accommodate their needs.)

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PDF Summary Introduction

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2) Entrepreneurship is management. Management shouldn’t be a dirty word in startups. Instead of a chaotic, “do what we feel like” strategy, you need to adopt a principled approach to manage risk and reduce failure.

3) Validated Learning. The job of a startup is to learn who its customer is and what its product should be. This learning should be treated rigorously and scientifically.

4) Build-Measure-Learn (and repeat). First you build, then you measure the results, then you learn what to improve next time. Then you build again. By stepping through this loop, you’ll gain concrete information on your hypotheses about the world and decide whether to change your strategy. The faster you iterate through this loop, the more you’ll learn and the more progress you’ll make.

5) Innovation accounting. It’s critical to treat learning rigorously, which means measuring progress and creating action plans.

Overview of the Book

This book is organized into three sections:

  • Vision: We define what an entrepreneur is and how startups learn through experimentation.
  • Steer: We step through the Build-Measure-Learn loop in technical detail, covering concepts like the...

PDF Summary Part 1: Vision | Chapter 1: Startups Need Managing

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Unfortunately, some startups avoid this learning cycle. Instead, they essentially point themselves in one direction, put on a blindfold, and then slam their foot on the pedal. To no one’s surprise, they end up in a ditch by the side of the road.

(Shortform example: The failed online grocery company Webvan in the 2000 dot-com bubble is a classic example of this – before fully validating their customer, they spent over a billion dollars building out their infrastructure and delivery fleet. To their chagrin, there weren’t enough customers to justify the investment, and the company folded.)

PDF Summary Chapter 2: Entrepreneurs Are Everywhere

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Intuit: a Giant Startup

Intuit was founded by Scott Cook in 1983, and they dominated the finance and tax prep software industries. But by 2002, its product initiatives were failing. Cook realized the management practices at Intuit couldn’t keep up with the rapidly changing economy.

A decade later, Intuit has built entrepreneurship and risk taking into the backbone of their company. For example, TurboTax, one of their flagship products, used to run on an annual product improvement cycle, where product and marketing teams would package together the year’s changes and push it out in a single big release.

Nowadays, they move in a much more agile way – they’ll run up to 70 different tests on one week, examine the data the next week, and quickly decide what further tests they need to run. Furthermore, because they rely on data to make decisions, good ideas win, rather than politics. This has led to much faster growth of new product lines.

Eric’s major point is that innovation can happen anywhere, not just in college dorm rooms but also in large, experienced organizations. But in the latter, it’s up to the leadership to create the conditions that will stimulate...

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PDF Summary Chapter 3: Learn What Your Users Want

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The IMVU team labored for 6 months on their prototype product. They worried constantly about the details of their implementation – “how many IM networks should we support?” (over a dozen) “How buggy can the prototype be? Will it make us look bad?”

Finally, with their pride on the line, they launched the product.

And no one joined.

They thought it was a quality problem at first, so they worked on fixing bugs and adding features. This didn’t budge the needle.

Finally, they decided to bring in potential users for interviews. This is where their epiphany happened. IMVU had built the whole game around getting new users to bring in their friends from other IM networks. But users didn’t actually want to invite their friends over before they had a chance to really test it out – if the game was uncool, they’d look bad.

Even more importantly, IMVU found that users actually didn’t mind joining a new IM network. Just like people today have different lives on different social networks (Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram, Pinterest, etc.), IMVU found that their target customer wanted a separate IM network dedicated to this new virtual world. They wanted to make new...

PDF Summary Chapter 4: Experiment like a Scientist

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Launching early gives you customer information earlier. The earlier you learn if customers actually want what you’re building, the more time you have to change your plan and run more experiments. You also discover customer concerns you couldn’t have predicted in a vacuum.

All these principles are in strict contrast to the usual market research/strategic planning process. Traditionally, you would try to research everything possible about your core user, then build your product to polished perfection, then release with a big launch party. This invites failure when you build something customers actually don’t even want.

We’re going to run through a few examples showing these principles at work. Notice how the same underlying principles apply to vastly different companies and scenarios.

Startup Example: Zappos

During the dot-com boom, it seemed like the internet could be a new commerce platform for everything – books, groceries, even pet supplies. Companies like Webvan started business by building massive infrastructures and supply chains, even before they had proven customer demand.

Zappos founder Nick Swinmurn took the opposite approach. **His first action was...

PDF Summary Part 2: Steer | Chapter 5: Form Your Hypothesis

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  • Do people actually have the problem you believe they have?
  • Do they actually want what you’re offering?
  • Are they willing to pay for it?

The Dangerous Startup by Analogy

One insidious way to frame your business is by analogy to other companies. If there’s a successful company that succeeded because of attribute X, then it’s tempting to say that because you also have attribute X, you’ll naturally succeed.

This superficially looks like sound logic, but in reality it’s very weak and papers over a lot of assumptions that may not hold up on closer inspection.

(Shortform example: for example, when Uber paved the way for on-demand services, a litany of companies cropped up to start the “Uber of [blank].” The logic for an on-demand service was as follows:

We are the Uber of laundry servicing. Uber allows users to request a car on demand using a mobile app, reducing friction far beyond hailing a taxi. Similarly, our users request laundry services on demand, we pick the clothes up and launder in our laundry rooms, and we deliver their laundry to their home 24 hours later. The laundry industry is worth $15 billion. Just as Uber is now larger than the...

PDF Summary Chapter 6: Test with the Minimum Viable Product

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Let’s focus on the hypothesis of the 20% sign up rate (20 signups out of 100 visitors). What is the MVP in this situation? Think about it for a second.

A common answer might be: “a simple prototype that’s light in features – instead of all celebrities, you can only swap faces with Kanye West. And you can only post to one social network, Facebook. We’ll market it and track conversion rate for users who land on our page.”

This is much better than building a fully fledged product over the course of a year. But you can go simpler.

You actually don’t even need to have a working, functional app!

Here’s how. Picture a web page that describes the features of your face swapping app. You show mockups of what it looks like when your face is on Kim Kardashian’s body, or when Donald Trump’s face is on your body. At the bottom of the page, you have a Download button. You track clicks on this Download button.

That’s all you need. You can test your hypothesis without an app at all. If you funnel in 100 users, you can see how many people enter the page, and how many people click the button. You can tell very quickly whether you’re far off from the 20% hypothesis.

If your idea is a...

PDF Summary Chapter 7: Measure

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These common vanity metrics are all problematic:

  • Total number of anything – users, sales, actions in product
  • Money raised from investors
  • Press articles written about your company
  • Number of employees hired
  • Number of features added to product
  • Meetings scheduled
  • Emails written

Cohort Analysis

Instead of looking at cumulative vanity metrics over time, the more accurate analysis is to separate users into groups based on the time they joined, then measure your metric for each group independently. Each group of users is called a cohort.

For example, say we wanted to measure engagement in an app by number of photos sent. Each week, we take all the users who joined that week, and then look at the average number of photos each user sends in their first day. We work really hard for 4 weeks, and we hope to see this number rise. Instead we see this:

...

Number of photos sent per user Vanity metric – total photos sent
Week 1 5 100
Week 2 5 200

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PDF Summary Chapter 8: Pivot or Persevere

... 90% 90% </tr> Retention Too low to measure 5% 8% Referral Too low to measure 4% 6% </table>

Starting with just the MVP, Votizen was at a good starting point, and without a chance to improve the metrics, it was too early to pivot. The first round of optimization led to major improvements in every single metric. But the second period of optimization, costing much more time and money, led to barely a bump in metrics.

This is a sign to pivot – they had taken the current idea as far as they could go.

From user interviews, Votizen got another idea – pivot to a way to let voters...

PDF Summary Part 3: Accelerate | Chapter 9: Work in Smaller Batches

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This concept maps directly onto building a startup. Instead of releasing a fully-featured product once a year, you could release small batches of features regularly. With smaller batches, you detect problems and measure impact earlier. Most importantly, you might find earlier that customers don’t actually want what you’re building. Would you rather find this out incrementally with 5 small batches in 5 weeks, or 1 big batch in 10 weeks?

Anecdote: Xiaomi

Xiaomi, a Chinese smartphone maker and one of the biggest in the world, is well-known for launching weekly updates to their phones’ operating systems. Engineers scour user forums looking for feature requests. They’re quickly implemented, tested, and rolled out to all its users, sometimes within that week. Users then give feedback on the new release to point out bugs and suggest new features.

Contrast this approach to the monolithic, huge-batch method of Apple, where a new version of iOS is released annually, and minor updates are introduced once every few months.

In comparison to Apple, Xiaomi users feel:

  • their needs are being listened to. They’re actually getting stuff they requested.

  • their...

PDF Summary Chapter 10: How Your Startup Grows

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  • When your customer keeps paying you
    • Merchants like Amazon: Retaining users means they continue to buy from the merchant
    • Subscription companies like Netflix or Salesforce – regular subscriptions means the longer a customer stays engaged, the larger lifetime value you get, the more value they get from your service, and the harder it is to leave

Metrics to Care About

  • Churn rate is the key metric to care about. This is defined as the fraction of customers who fail to remain engaged with the product in a certain time period.
  • Growth rate: defined as new customer acquisition - churn rate.
    • For example, you may grow by 50% per month, but churn 30% of users per month. On a base of 100 customers, you gain 50 users but lose 30. You end the month with 120 customers for net 20% growth. If you keep the same growth rate, your userbase will compound over time.
  • Engagement: can be defined as the core engagement action you care about, like logins per week, time used per week, messages sent per month, etc.
  • AVOID total number of signups. This will always increase, but if you’re churning customers, your revenue will flatline. Your...

PDF Summary Chapter 11: Slow Down Intelligently

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This example can be applied to any recurring problem in your startup, whether it’s a problem in customer service, engineering, accounting, or more.

Make a Proportional Investment

Asking Five Whys lets you figure out the root cause. Depending on how grave the problem is, you can then make a proportional investment to fix it.

This requires you to quantify the size of the problem. You can do this in units of resources – namely, person-hours or dollars.

A problem that occurs once and costs one man-hour to fix doesn’t need a heavy process to fix it.

A problem that occurs weekly and requires ten man-hours to fix will suck up 500 hours in a year – if you can spend 100 hours to solve it completely, it’s well worth it.

This calculus doesn’t have to be exact – often a rough estimate will tell you clearly if fixing the problem is clearly a huge gain, clearly a waste of time, or somewhere on the fence.

And you can solve problems iteratively too. For first-time problems, make a smaller incremental improvement to the root cause. If the problem recurs, then you have more information about whether you want to invest more.

The Five Whys and proportional investments...

PDF Summary Chapter 12: Startups in Big Organizations

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The Three Attributes of Successful Startup Teams

The author suggests that successful innovation requires three structural attributes:

  • Limited but secure resources. By their nature, startups are high risk and thus deserve less resources than surefire investments. This is a good thing, since it forces startups to focus on the right questions or perish. But because a sudden change in resources can be catastrophic, internal startups need their funding secured and immune from tampering by other managers.
  • Independent decision-making authority. To move faster, startups need to be able to run and execute experiments without passing each one by a review board. Building cross-functional startup teams allows representatives from each stakeholder department to partake in the innovation and sign off quickly on decisions. Of course, this independence needs to be balanced with safeguards – internal startups shouldn’t do anything that can damage the entire brand or hurt customers, for example.
  • Incentive in success. Entrepreneurs, internal or independent, are motivated by tying their personal success to their startup’s success. Typically this means equity or...

PDF Summary Chapter 13: Epilogue

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The important goal is validated learning, discovering the truth about the world in a rigorous way. Think about Lean Startup as a mental framework for how to think about building a sustainable business.

What is your value hypothesis or growth hypothesis? What is the fastest, cheapest way you can validate this hypothesis?