{"id":139862,"date":"2025-01-16T11:34:28","date_gmt":"2025-01-16T15:34:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/?p=139862"},"modified":"2025-01-17T11:34:47","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T15:34:47","slug":"geoengineering-for-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/geoengineering-for-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Is Geoengineering a Solution for Climate Change?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Could geoengineering be the solution to climate change? Are the risks worth the potential benefits?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The field of geoengineering is getting a second look from some scientists, policymakers, and tech billionaires, who wonder whether it could help fend off <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/climate-catastrophe\/\">climate disaster<\/a>. Geoengineering for climate change involves manipulating the Earth\u2019s climate system to counteract the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Below, we\u2019ll discuss what geoengineering is, why scientists have pushed back against it, and why some are now giving it a cautious second look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-geoengineering-could-save-the-world-but-at-what-cost\"><strong>Geoengineering<\/strong> Could Save the World\u2014but at What Cost?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Copernicus, the European Union\u2019s Climate Change Service, reports <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/US\/2024-track-become-earths-warmest-year-record-despite\/story?id=112643940\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a warmer year-to-date global average temperature<\/a> as of July 2024, and the numbers are unlikely to drop. In August, Australia recorded its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/australia-news\/article\/2024\/aug\/26\/winter-heat-records-broken-as-australia-set-for-more-temperatures-over-10c-above-average\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">hottest winter ever<\/a>, with some areas charting temperatures that were 15 degrees Celsius (59 degrees Fahrenheit) above the norm; the western US also experienced a record-breaking <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/nation\/2024\/10\/03\/october-heat-wave-southwest-california-autumn\/75489460007\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">heat wave in October<\/a>. These are some of the latest grim reminders of a climate emergency\u2014a crisis that\u2019s making experts take a second look at a contentious strategy to help avert a disaster: geoengineering.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-is-geoengineering\"><strong>What Is Geoengineering?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Geoengineering for climate change is <strong>manipulating the Earth\u2019s climate system to counteract the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions<\/strong>. Also known as climate engineering, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/B9780128141045000259\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">it can be divided into two strategies<\/a>: <em>solar radiation management<\/em> and <em>carbon dioxide removal<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>AI&#8217;s Growing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/tourism-carbon-footprint\/\">Carbon Footprint<\/a> <\/strong><br><br>Tech workers, researchers, and environmentalists warn that without a rapid, radical shift in AI system development that accounts for its environmental impact, <strong>the technology\u2019s energy consumption <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/technology\/2023\/aug\/01\/techscape-environment-cost-ai-artificial-intelligence\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>will surpass that of the entire global workforce by 2025<\/strong><\/a><strong>.<\/strong> At present:\u00a0<br><br><strong>Training a single AI model can produce emissions equal to <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/bernardmarr\/2023\/03\/22\/green-intelligence-why-data-and-ai-must-become-more-sustainable\/?sh=31c9ec647658\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>more than 626,000 pounds of carbon dioxide<\/strong><\/a>\u2014roughly five times the emissions generated by the average American car during its lifetime.<br><strong>A single data center can use the same amount of electricity as <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cybernews.com\/editorial\/chatgpt-carbon-footprint\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>50,000 homes<\/strong><\/a>\u2014and by 2030, data centers are anticipated to <a href=\"https:\/\/cybernews.com\/editorial\/chatgpt-carbon-footprint\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">double their electricity use<\/a>.\u00a0<strong>The cloud\u2019s carbon footprint now <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cybernews.com\/editorial\/chatgpt-carbon-footprint\/\"><strong>surpasses that of the entire airline industry<\/strong><\/a><strong>, <\/strong>generating roughly 2% of global emissions.<br><br><strong>As AI\u2019s popularity and energy demands grow, <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/artificial-intelligence-can-make-companies-greener-but-it-also-guzzles-energy-7c7b678\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>so will its carbon footprint<\/strong><\/a><strong>\u2014potentially <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/bernardmarr\/2023\/03\/22\/green-intelligence-why-data-and-ai-must-become-more-sustainable\/?sh=31c9ec647658\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>imperiling global climate goals<\/strong><\/a><strong>.<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-carbon-dioxide-removal-cdr\">1. Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR)<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>This strategy focuses on removing CO2 from the atmosphere to directly reduce greenhouse gas concentrations that are leading to climate change. Examples of CDR are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bioenergy with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/carbon-capture-and-storage-uk\/\">carbon capture and storage<\/a><\/strong>\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/energy-system\/carbon-capture-utilisation-and-storage\/bioenergy-with-carbon-capture-and-storage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">producing energy from plant-based materials, trapping the CO2 emitted<\/a>, and storing it underground.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Direct air capture<\/strong>\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/energy-system\/carbon-capture-utilisation-and-storage\/direct-air-capture\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trapping CO2 that\u2019s already in the atmosphere<\/a> and then storing it underground.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-solar-radiation-management-srm\">2. Solar Radiation Management (SRM)<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>This type of geoengineering aims to reflect a portion of the sun\u2019s heat and light back into space to cool the planet. Some methods of SRM are:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Stratospheric aerosol injection<\/strong>\u2014releasing aerosols, like sulfur dioxide, into the stratosphere. It\u2019s inspired by natural occurrences like volcanic eruptions. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Marine cloud brightening<\/strong>\u2014spraying sea salt crystals into marine clouds to make them more reflective. <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Space-based reflectors<\/strong>\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.space.com\/sunshade-earth-orbit-climate-change\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">placing mirrors or other reflective materials in space<\/a> to deflect sunlight before it reaches Earth.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-combination-method-marine-geoengineering\">Combination Method: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-019-01790-7.epdf?no_publisher_access=1&amp;r3_referer=nature\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Marine Geoengineering<\/a> <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>This method <strong>comprises both SRM and CDR strategies deployed in oceans<\/strong>. An example of a marine SRM tactic is cloud seeding using seawater sprayed by ships, while a marine CDR tactic is adding iron to the water. The latter process speeds up the growth of CO2-absorbing phytoplankton; some of this CO2 would then settle deep in the ocean once the phytoplankton die.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-why-opponents-are-saying\"><strong>Why Opponents Are Saying<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In the past, geoengineering lay on the fringes of the scientific world, with most experts not giving it any serious consideration. This is because many argue that <a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6264143\/geoengineering-climate-scientists-divided\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">manipulating the climate could lead to terrible consequences<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>It might <strong>disrupt weather patterns<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It <strong>sends the wrong message<\/strong> and might make CO2-emitting industries complacent, disincentivizing them from cutting emissions.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It might <strong>have grave effects on geopolitics<\/strong>, putting more power into the hands of nations with more resources.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>It might <strong>lead to consequences we can\u2019t even predict<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Citing geoengineering\u2019s dangers, a group of 16 scholars from around the world initiated an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.solargeoeng.org\/non-use-agreement\/open-letter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">open letter for an International Non-Use Agreement on Solar Geoengineering<\/a> in 2022, with support from hundreds of other experts. Apart from academics, indigenous peoples have also opposed experimentation\u2014in March 2024, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2024\/03\/18\/1089879\/harvard-halts-its-long-planned-atmospheric-geoengineering-experiment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Harvard researchers abandoned a planned geoengineering experiment<\/a> in Sweden after much debate and pushback from the public, including the Saami peoples of Northern Europe. Climate activist <a href=\"https:\/\/www.geoengineeringmonitor.org\/new-video-sayno2solargeo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Greta Thunberg has likewise spoken out against the technology<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-advocates-are-saying\"><strong>What Advocates Are Saying<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite these risks, advocates of geoengineering argue that it\u2019s a necessary tool, given the urgency of the climate situation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/u-s-blocks-u-n-resolution-on-geoengineering\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">US was one of the countries that blocked a UN resolution<\/a> in 2019 to conduct geoengineering research, it shifted its stance in 2020, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/content\/article\/could-solar-geoengineering-cool-planet-u-s-gets-serious-about-finding-out\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Congress allocating funding to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration<\/a> for a research program. Other experts stress the need for strong governance <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/climate-environment\/2023\/02\/27\/geoengineering-security-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">frameworks to regulate the use<\/a> of geoengineering technologies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-s-next\"><strong>What&#8217;s Next<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The general public is similarly divided on the issue: One US survey found that 41-45% of Americans think geoengineering would be beneficial, while a little over half don\u2019t believe it would help. The debate is complex, and there are many <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2023\/03\/05\/1160783951\/6-scholars-explain-what-a-real-climate-solution-is\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">factors to consider<\/a>. Some advocates, considering what happened to the now defunct Harvard experiment, say that researchers should quietly go ahead with research and testing without anyone\u2019s approval. Others, including former Harvard researcher David Keith, are against going \u201crogue,\u201d but wonder <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2024\/04\/04\/1090626\/the-hard-lessons-of-harvards-failed-geoengineering-experiment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">just how open researchers should be<\/a> about their findings and plans.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Could geoengineering be the solution to climate change? Are the risks worth the potential benefits? The field of geoengineering is getting a second look from some scientists, policymakers, and tech billionaires, who wonder whether it could help fend off climate disaster. Geoengineering for climate change involves manipulating the Earth\u2019s climate system to counteract the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions. Below, we\u2019ll discuss what geoengineering is, why scientists have pushed back against it, and why some are now giving it a cautious second look.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":139863,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,160],"tags":[727],"class_list":["post-139862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethics","category-science","tag-articles","","tg-column-two"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Is Geoengineering a Solution for Climate Change? - Shortform Books<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Could geoengineering be the solution to climate change? 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