{"id":139758,"date":"2025-01-13T15:48:34","date_gmt":"2025-01-13T19:48:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/?p=139758"},"modified":"2025-01-15T15:52:55","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T19:52:55","slug":"geoffrey-hinton-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/geoffrey-hinton-ai\/","title":{"rendered":"Geoffrey Hinton&#8217;s AI Warnings (The &#8220;Godfather&#8221; of AI)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>What are Geoffrey Hinton&#8217;s AI concerns? Why is the &#8220;Godfather of AI&#8221; advocating for regulations?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As machines grow smarter, artificial intelligence pioneers like Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton warn they could someday pursue their own goals at our expense. Although we\u2019re reaping transformative benefits across many fields, they fear there\u2019s a thin line between AI innovation and potential catastrophe for humans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s what humans need to look out for and why regulations are so important.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Image source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/collisionconf\/53008235332\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Flickr<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/2.0\/#ref-appropriate-credit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">License<\/a>: Image cropped<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-should-humans-worry-about-ai\"><strong>Should Humans Worry About AI?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As artificial intelligence accelerates\u2014giving us models that have become powerful tools for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2023\/10\/04\/1080801\/generative-ai-boosting-disinformation-and-propaganda-freedom-house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">generating disinformation<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/engagement.virginia.edu\/learn\/thoughts-from-the-lawn\/20240409-Orebaugh\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">convincingly impersonating people<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/hbr.org\/2022\/09\/ai-isnt-ready-to-make-unsupervised-decisions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">making quick decisions<\/a>\u2014the line between science fiction and reality is blurring. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the center of this debate is computer scientist Geoffrey Hinton, whose work on neural networks earned him a Nobel Prize, the nickname <a href=\"https:\/\/mitsloan.mit.edu\/ideas-made-to-matter\/why-neural-net-pioneer-geoffrey-hinton-sounding-alarm-ai\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the \u201cGodfather of AI<\/a>,\u201d and a front-row seat to the perils of the technology he had a hand in creating.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hinton&#8217;s journey from neural network pioneer to vocal AI critic reflects the misgivings that many of us have about artificial intelligence. He warns that superintelligent machines could develop goals that are at odds with ours or pose dangers in the wrong hands. Here&#8217;s a deeper look at Geoffrey Hinton&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/how-ai-fears-affect-mental-health-what-companies-can-do\/\">AI fears<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-potential-existential-risk-of-ai\"><strong>The Potential \u201cExistential Risk\u201d of AI\u00a0<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Hinton\u2019s groundbreaking work on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/ai-pioneer-explains-evolution-neural-networks\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">neural networks<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2020\/11\/03\/1011616\/ai-godfather-geoffrey-hinton-deep-learning-will-do-everything\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">deep learning algorithms<\/a> earned him the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nobelprize.org\/prizes\/physics\/2024\/press-release\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2024 Nobel Prize in Physics<\/a>. His methods laid the foundation for the branch of artificial intelligence <a href=\"https:\/\/mitsloan.mit.edu\/ideas-made-to-matter\/machine-learning-explained\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">called machine learning<\/a> and helped to propel AI into the mainstream consciousness. But Hinton may <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/melania-trumps-be-best\/\">be best<\/a> known for his <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/05\/01\/technology\/ai-google-chatbot-engineer-quits-hinton.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">high-profile departure from Google<\/a> in 2023, in which<strong> he sounded the alarm that AI could harm humanity.<\/strong> His warnings have fueled the debate on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/tech\/john-hopfield-geoffrey-hinton-nobel-prize-ai-physics-b2625699.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the \u201cexistential risk\u201d<\/a> that Hinton believes artificial intelligence poses.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts believe AI tools like the large language model that powers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-can-you-do-with-chatgpt\/\">ChatGPT<\/a> (and was made possible by the methods pioneered by Hinton) have incredible potential across many domains, from health care to education and beyond. But Hinton and others have warned that we need an ethical and regulatory framework to develop and use these tools responsibly. He believes <strong>advanced AI systems could <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2023\/05\/02\/1072528\/geoffrey-hinton-google-why-scared-ai\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>pose ethical dilemmas<\/strong><\/a><strong>, regulatory challenges, and inherent risks<\/strong> if they surpass human intelligence, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/magazine\/2023\/11\/20\/geoffrey-hinton-profile-ai\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">develop their own goals<\/a>, or are misused for malicious purposes, like manipulating elections or fighting wars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>The Growth of Chatbots<br><\/strong><br>As chatbot technology improves, people\u2019s relationships with it are evolving\u2014in ways that affect their relationships with other people, as well.\u00a0<br><br>First, expectations of chatbots are growing: <strong>People increasingly expect them to understand context, personalize responses, and handle more complex queries.<\/strong>\u00a0<br><br>Then, because they\u2019re growing more comfortable interacting with these technologies, people\u2019s desire to speak with other humans is lessening:\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<br><br>62% of consumers now say <strong>they\u2019d rather use a chatbot than wait for assistance from a human<\/strong>\u2014suggesting both people\u2019s preference for fast, round-the-clock service and that customer relationships are becoming less dependent on human interaction.<br><br><strong>Regular encounters with chatbots are making people less patient<\/strong>: 59% of customers now expect a chatbot response within five seconds.<br><br>Forty percent of people now say they <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/forbesbusinesscouncil\/2023\/07\/19\/how-ai-is-changing-the-way-we-communicate\/?sh=648d32da36b3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>prefer online communication<\/strong><\/a><strong> over face-to-face conversations. <\/strong>Further, people increasingly view chatbots not just as tools to accomplish tasks, but as potential substitutes for human relationships.\u00a0<br><br>Experts say that at its extreme, prolonged conversations with the technology is leading to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/culture\/infinite-scroll\/your-ai-companion-will-support-you-no-matter-what\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">new forms of &#8220;friendship&#8221; and intimate relationships<\/a>\u2014a logical development given that chatbots are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/technology\/archive\/2024\/01\/chatbots-change-human-communication\/677154\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">available to meet people\u2019s physical, emotional, and consumer needs around the clock<\/a>. The more chatbots evolve to have natural and human-like interactions, the more likely people will be to perceive them as human\u2014which could lead to a growing emotional <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/maturity-continuum-7-habits\/\">dependence<\/a> on the tools.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-can-ai-outsmart-humans\"><strong>Can AI Outsmart Humans?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Tech giants are rolling out increasingly sophisticated AI tools, and promising that AI will revolutionize how we work, communicate, and create art.<strong> <\/strong>From ChatGPT\u2019s ability to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/article\/how-to-use-chatgpt-to-write-an-essay\/\">write ess<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/article\/how-to-use-chatgpt-to-write-an-essay\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/article\/how-to-use-chatgpt-to-write-an-essay\/\">ys<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zdnet.com\/article\/how-to-use-chatgpt-to-write-code-what-it-does-well-and-what-it-doesnt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">produce code<\/a> to Siri\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/06\/09\/technology\/siri-apple-ai-chatgpt.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">voice-activated assistance<\/a> to Dall-E\u2019s ability to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.makeuseof.com\/what-is-dall-e-ai-image-generator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">create any image<\/a> you ask for, AI assistants are getting hard to ignore. But they also raise questions about <a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6565026\/ai-job-replacement-mit-study\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">privacy, data use<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6565026\/ai-job-replacement-mit-study\/\">job displacement<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/hbr.org\/2024\/07\/the-uneven-distribution-of-ais-environmental-impacts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">environmental impacts<\/a>, and the value of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/culture\/annals-of-inquiry\/what-kind-of-writer-is-chatgpt\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">human work, thinking, and creativity<\/a>. Hinton\u2014who says he initially believed that AI wouldn\u2019t surpass human intelligence\u2014now expresses concerns that AI systems could become smarter than humans in the near future. It\u2019s hard to imagine the consequences that might follow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>One of Hinton\u2019s primary concerns is the possibility that advanced AI systems might <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thedailybeast.com\/geoffrey-hinton-godfather-of-ai-who-regretted-his-lifes-work-wins-nobel-prize-in-physics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>develop their own goals<\/strong><\/a><strong>, <\/strong>which could lead to unintended and harmful consequences. He explains that AI systems, if given the ability to create their own objectives, might <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/pursue-your-goals\/\">pursue goals<\/a> like \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.technologyreview.com\/2023\/05\/02\/1072528\/geoffrey-hinton-google-why-scared-ai\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">get more energy<\/a>\u201d or \u201cmake more copies of yourself.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hinton advocates for international <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/venturebeat.com\/ai\/ai-safety-showdown-yann-lecun-slams-californias-sb-1047-as-geoffrey-hinton-backs-new-regulations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>cooperation and regulation<\/strong><\/a><strong> to address these risks<\/strong>. He suggests curbing the development of potentially dangerous AI systems in the same way that we <a href=\"https:\/\/whyy.org\/articles\/geoffrey-hinton-4-dangers-that-ai-pose-to-humanity\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ban chemical weapons<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-positive-outcomes-of-ai\"><strong>The Positive Outcomes of AI<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>While the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence raises eyebrows, its proponents argue <strong>we\u2019re already <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/10\/13\/health\/nobel-laureate-warnings-ai\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>reaping transformative benefits<\/strong><\/a><strong> across various sectors<\/strong>. For example, in health care, AI can serve health care providers as a tireless, hyper-observant assistant. In the radiology lab, AI tools <a href=\"https:\/\/pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/articles\/PMC10740686\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">analyze medical images and data<\/a> with superhuman accuracy, enabling doctors to catch diseases in their earliest stages and put together more effective treatment plans. In the pharmacy, AI tools <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2023\/jun\/26\/ai-personalise-medicine-patient-lab-health-diagnosis-cambridge\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">can tailor treatments<\/a> to a patient\u2019s unique genetic makeup and medical history, which increases the chances of successful outcomes.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Proponents of artificial intelligence say<strong> the technology could <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/casmi.northwestern.edu\/news\/articles\/2023\/empowering-human-knowledge-for-more-effective-ai-assisted-decision-making.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>augment human decision-making<\/strong><\/a> across domains. AI can sift through mountains of data to spot patterns invisible to the human eye. From financial markets to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/climate-change-science\/\">climate science<\/a>, this would enable AI systems to provide insights that could solve some of our most complex challenges.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-should-we-proceed\"><strong>How Should We Proceed?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The path to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-is-the-future-of-ai\/\">future of artificial intelligence<\/a> resembles a high-stakes tightrope walk<\/strong>. One side offers advancements that could solve humanity\u2019s most pressing challenges. The other could unleash the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/existential-threats-to-humanity\/\">existential risks<\/a> of building machines that could become more intelligent than humans. The key to getting safely across might lie in what experts call \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/thedecisionlab.com\/reference-guide\/computer-science\/ai-alignment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI alignment<\/a>\u201d: ensuring powerful AI systems remain in lockstep with human values and intentions. It\u2019s a daunting task, akin to <a href=\"https:\/\/bigthink.com\/the-future\/ai-value-alignment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">teaching human ethics to an alien intelligence<\/a>, and researchers are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantamagazine.org\/what-does-it-mean-to-align-ai-with-human-values-20221213\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">exploring approaches<\/a> like inverse reinforcement learning, which aims to help AI systems better understand and align with human objectives. AI alignment is\u00a0crucial because superintelligent systems pursuing goals at cross-purposes with ours could spell disaster. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What are Geoffrey Hinton&#8217;s AI concerns? Why is the &#8220;Godfather of AI&#8221; advocating for regulations? As machines grow smarter, artificial intelligence pioneers like Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton warn they could someday pursue their own goals at our expense. Although we\u2019re reaping transformative benefits across many fields, they fear there\u2019s a thin line between AI innovation and potential catastrophe for humans. Here&#8217;s what humans need to look out for and why regulations are so important.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":139761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20,160,24],"tags":[727],"class_list":["post-139758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ethics","category-science","category-society","tag-articles","","tg-column-two"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Geoffrey Hinton&#039;s AI Warnings (The &quot;Godfather&quot; of AI) - Shortform Books<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Geoffrey Hinton, the &quot;Godfather of AI&quot; is now warning against the dangers it may pose. 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