{"id":115631,"date":"2023-10-21T15:37:00","date_gmt":"2023-10-21T19:37:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/?p=115631"},"modified":"2026-04-27T13:13:02","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T17:13:02","slug":"what-is-moores-law","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-is-moores-law\/","title":{"rendered":"What Is Moore\u2019s Law? Predicting the Evolution of Electronics"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>What is Moore\u2019s law? Can we still use Moore\u2019s law today?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moore\u2019s law states that the number of transistors that can fit on a microchip will double every two years and that the cost of each transistor will decrease. Since it was first predicted in 1965, this has been roughly accurate; however, understanding whether we can use Moore\u2019s law today requires a more thorough look.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Read on to learn more about what Moore\u2019s law is and whether it still makes sense today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-understanding-moore-s-law-in-context\">Understanding Moore\u2019s Law in Context<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>What is Moore\u2019s law? The answer is in the history of electronics. Semiconductor chips\u2014the crucial components in electronics that control the flow of electric current\u2014became the delivery mechanism for the binary code that powers our digital world and an indispensable input in all electronics. This includes everything from personal computers to household appliances to advanced weapons systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thinking about the growth potential of semiconductors fueled the optimism of chip pioneers. In 1965, Gordon Moore (who, along with Noyce, cofounded the computer chip powerhouse Intel in 1968), predicted that <strong>the number of transistors that could fit on a microchip would <\/strong><strong><em>double <\/em><\/strong><strong>approximately every two years\u2014while the cost per transistor would <\/strong><strong><em>decrease<\/em><\/strong>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This principle became known as Moore\u2019s law, and its predictions have largely withstood the test of time for six decades. Miller writes that this had massive implications for the nascent chip industry, as it meant that computers and electronic devices would be able to perform increasingly complex tasks at faster speeds.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The chip industry\u2019s behavior aligned well with what Moore\u2019s law predicted. Chip manufacturers became focused on cramming more components onto semiconductors, thus exponentially increasing processing power.(Shortform note: Although Miller writes that Moore\u2019s law has largely stood the test of time since its promulgation in the mid-1960s, some prominent tech figures have questioned whether it still has predictive power. <strong>In 2022, <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/moores-laws-dead-nvidia-ceo-jensen-says-in-justifying-gaming-card-price-hike-11663798618\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang declared that Moore&#8217;s Law was no longer applicable<\/strong><\/a><strong> in its traditional sense<\/strong>. According to Huang, the doubling of transistor counts on microchips every two years is no longer the sole metric for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/measuring-progress\/\">measuring progress<\/a> in the semiconductor industry. Instead, today\u2019s advancements are related to innovations in chip architectures, performance improvements, and specialized processing units.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is Moore\u2019s law? Can we still use Moore\u2019s law today? Moore\u2019s law states that the number of transistors that can fit on a microchip will double every two years and that the cost of each transistor will decrease. Since it was first predicted in 1965, this has been roughly accurate; however, understanding whether we can use Moore\u2019s law today requires a more thorough look. Read on to learn more about what Moore\u2019s law is and whether it still makes sense today.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":24,"featured_media":23103,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[81,39],"tags":[1296],"class_list":["post-115631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics","category-history","tag-chip-war","","tg-column-two"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What Is Moore\u2019s Law? Predicting the Evolution of Electronics - Shortform Books<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What is Moore\u2019s law? Does it still apply today? 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