{"id":113958,"date":"2023-09-24T11:17:00","date_gmt":"2023-09-24T15:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/?p=113958"},"modified":"2023-09-28T15:54:03","modified_gmt":"2023-09-28T19:54:03","slug":"what-is-the-future-of-ai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-is-the-future-of-ai\/","title":{"rendered":"What Is the Future of AI? The Evidence That It&#8217;s Evolving"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>What is the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-will-ai-do-in-the-future\/\">future of AI<\/a>? Why does Max Tegmark believe <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/superintelligent-ai\/\">artificial superintelligence<\/a> is possible?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The idea that we could build a computer that&#8217;s smarter than us may seem far-fetched. Yet, some evidence indicates that such technology is on its way, according to Max Tegmark&#8217;s book <em>Life 3.0<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keep reading to learn what AI could possibly turn into.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-evidence-that-artificial-superintelligence-is-possible\"><strong>Evidence That Artificial Superintelligence Is Possible<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>What is the future of AI and what evidence do we have that it&#8217;s evolving? First, the artificial intelligence we\u2019ve created so far is functioning more and more like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/is-agi-possible\/\">AGI<\/a>. Researchers have developed a new way to design sophisticated AI called <em>deep reinforcement learning<\/em>. Essentially, they\u2019ve created computers that can repeatedly modify themselves in an effort to accomplish a certain goal. This means that <strong>machines can now use the <em>same process<\/em> to learn <em>different<\/em> skills<\/strong>\u2014a necessary component of AGI. Currently, there are many <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/embrace-ai\/\">human skills<\/a> that developers can\u2019t teach to computers using deep reinforcement learning, but that list is becoming shorter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(Shortform note: By using a specific form of deep reinforcement learning called Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF), AI developers can get computers to optimize for <em>vaguely defined or subjective<\/em> values. For instance, the developers at OpenAI <a href=\"https:\/\/www.assemblyai.com\/blog\/how-chatgpt-actually-works\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">used this process to train the AI-based chatbot ChatGPT<\/a>: Humans answered sample prompts to show <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-can-you-do-with-chatgpt\/\">ChatGPT<\/a> what kinds of answers they wanted. Then, they allowed the chatbot to try answering prompts and scored its answers based on how accurate and desirable they were. The AI then used this \u201creward\u201d data to create a model describing what qualifies as a \u201cgood\u201d answer, allowing it to further train itself.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second, Tegmark asserts that <strong>given everything we know about the universe, there\u2019s no obvious reason to believe that artificial superintelligence is impossible.<\/strong> Although it may seem like our brains possess unique creative powers, they store and process information in much the same way that computers do. The information in our heads is a biological pattern rather than a digital one, but the information itself is the same no matter what material it\u2019s encoded with. In theory, computers can do everything our brains can do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(Shortform note: Some experts disagree, arguing that although it\u2019s theoretically possible for hardware components to run the same information processes as a human brain, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/2017\/04\/the-myth-of-a-superhuman-ai\/#:~:text=a%20single%20dimension.)-,3.,-Part%20of%20this\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">it\u2019s not necessarily true that it could do so at the same speed<\/a>. The organic material of the human brain is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scienceabc.com\/humans\/the-human-brain-vs-supercomputers-which-one-wins.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">far faster than computers at processing tons of data<\/a>\u2014we only assume otherwise because the brain processes data unconsciously. If a computer could process information like a brain, it would likely be so slow that it would defeat the purpose of simulating a brain in the first place. By this logic, it might be impossible to create a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/human-level-ai\/\">human-level AI<\/a> that can improve itself faster than a human could, placing the intelligence explosion out of our grasp.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tegmark concedes that AGI and artificial superintelligence might still be a pipe dream, impossible to create for some reason we don\u2019t yet see. However, he contends that if there\u2019s even a small chance that an artificial superintelligence will exist in the near future, it\u2019s our responsibility to do anything in our power to ensure that it has a positive impact on humanity. This is because artificial superintelligence has the power to completely transform the world\u2014or end it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>(Shortform note: Some experts contend that because we don\u2019t know if a world-ending artificial superintelligence is possible or how likely it is to happen, we need to <a href=\"https:\/\/time.com\/6295879\/ai-pause-is-humanitys-best-bet-for-preventing-extinction\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pause all ongoing AI development<\/a> until we understand the science enough to proceed safely. Due to current economic incentives to create profitable AI-based products, research laboratories are advancing AI as fast as they can. As a result, they\u2019re arguably racing to see who can trigger an intelligence explosion first. A development pause (if possible) would require significant cooperation between research firms as well as governments around the world.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is the future of AI? Why does Max Tegmark believe artificial superintelligence is possible? The idea that we could build a computer that&#8217;s smarter than us may seem far-fetched. Yet, some evidence indicates that such technology is on its way, according to Max Tegmark&#8217;s book Life 3.0. Keep reading to learn what AI could possibly turn into.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":79570,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[1274],"class_list":["post-113958","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-society","tag-life-3-0","","tg-column-two"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What Is the Future of AI? 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Discover what the future of AI might look like according to Life 3.0.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-is-the-future-of-ai\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Shortform Books\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-09-24T15:17:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-09-28T19:54:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wordpress.shortform.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/pepper-ai-artificial-intelligence-robot.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1844\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1234\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Katie Doll\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Katie Doll\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-is-the-future-of-ai\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/what-is-the-future-of-ai\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Katie Doll\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/c3e1b539e89423b544ede91ab2bff937\"},\"headline\":\"What Is the Future of AI? 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