{"id":109217,"date":"2023-07-28T13:41:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T17:41:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/?p=109217"},"modified":"2023-07-31T10:31:18","modified_gmt":"2023-07-31T14:31:18","slug":"record-breaking-heat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/record-breaking-heat\/","title":{"rendered":"Record-Breaking Heat: Causes &#038; Consequences"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>What&#8217;s causing the record-breaking heat around the globe? Is it man-made or natural?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ten warmest years in recorded history all happened since 2010, and 2023 is on track to beat the record once again. Despite this, there are still many climate change skeptics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a look at the causes of the recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/effects-of-extreme-heat\/\">extreme heat<\/a> and why the skeptics are wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-extreme-heat-has-climate-experts-worried\"><strong>Extreme Heat Has Climate Experts Worried<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The global average temperature <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcdfw.com\/weather\/weather-connection\/earths-hottest-day-record-set-reset-three-times-this-week\/3289861\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">hit a record high on July 3, 2023<\/a>. The next day matched that record, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcdfw.com\/news\/national-international\/thursday-was-the-hottest-day-on-earth-in-recorded-history-model-shows\/3291592\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">July 5 broke it<\/a>. This is the latest in a seemingly endless series of warnings about the impacts of climate change, but experts urge people not to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gwi.com\/connecting-the-dots\/ok-doomer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">become fatigued<\/a> or jaded about climate change\u2014<strong>scientists keep raising more alarms because global conditions keep getting worse.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An unusually hot week\u2014even an unusually hot year\u2014wouldn\u2019t be cause for alarm on its own. However, these record-high temperatures are part of a long-term, worldwide trend that has many environmental experts extremely worried. The 10 warmest years on record <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/understanding-climate\/climate-change-global-temperature#:~:text=The%2010%20warmest%20years%20in%20the%20143%2Dyear%20record%20have%20all%20occurred%20since%202010%2C%20with%20the%20last%20nine%20years%20(2014%E2%80%932022)%20ranking%20as%20the%20nine%20warmest%20years%20on%20record.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">have all happened since 2010<\/a>, with the years from 2014 to 2022 accounting for nine of those; now 2023 is on track to be the warmest yet. In other words: <strong>Earth is getting measurably hotter, and it\u2019s happening quickly.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-el-nino-conditions-are-exacerbating-climate-change\">El Ni\u00f1o Conditions Are Exacerbating Climate Change<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Temperatures this summer have been especially unforgiving thanks in part to <a href=\"https:\/\/oceanservice.noaa.gov\/facts\/ninonina.html#:~:text=than%20La%20Ni%C3%B1a.-,El%20Ni%C3%B1o,-During%20El%20Ni%C3%B1o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">El Ni\u00f1o<\/a>, a climate pattern where the surface waters of the Pacific Ocean become unusually warm. This, in turn, causes much of the US and Canada to be hotter and drier than usual, contributing to the record-breaking global average temperatures recorded in July.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-addressing-climate-skepticism\"><strong>Addressing Climate Skepticism<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the record-breaking heat year after year, many people remain unconvinced either that climate change is happening, or that humans are responsible for it and can therefore mitigate it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the contrary, there\u2019s an overwhelming amount of evidence that climate change is real and caused by human activity; <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.nasa.gov\/faq\/17\/do-scientists-agree-on-climate-change\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">97% of working climate scientists agree on this<\/a>. To give that figure some context, the scientific consensus about climate change is nearly as strong as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/short-reads\/2019\/02\/11\/darwin-day\/#:~:text=Among%20scientists%20connected%20to%20the%20American%20Association%20for%20the%20Advancement%20of%20Science%2C%2098%25%20say%20they%20believe%20humans%20evolved%20over%20time.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">scientific consensus about evolution<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>It\u2019s not that hot in my community \/ last winter was colder than usual, so global warming can\u2019t be real.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This argument <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/mission_pages\/noaa-n\/climate\/climate_weather.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">conflates climate with weather<\/a>\u2014in other words, it confuses short-term conditions with long-term conditions. It\u2019s true that there are still cold days and cold seasons; that\u2019s why climate scientists place so much emphasis on <em>trends <\/em>in the temperature. Even accounting for the occasional cold snap, Earth\u2019s average temperature has been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/news-features\/understanding-climate\/climate-change-global-temperature\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">trending upward at an alarming rate<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/is-there-a-climate-crisis\/\">Climate alarmism<\/a> is politically and\/or economically motivated.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In essence, this argument says that climate change is a scam designed to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.org\/news\/article.asp?id=291\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">help liberal politicians get votes<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/hottest-days-ever-dont-believe-it-global-temperature-north-sole-poles-6e64a991\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">help \u201cgreen\u201d industries get sales<\/a>. However, for that to be true, nearly every climate scientist and major news outlet\u2014not to mention the majority of politicians\u2014in the entire world would have to be in on the scam.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Climate change is a natural process.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This argument acknowledges climate change, but it denies that humans are responsible for it. It\u2019s true that Earth\u2019s climate has changed before, sometimes drastically (for instance, during <a href=\"https:\/\/www.britannica.com\/science\/ice-age-geology\">ice ages<\/a>). However, natural phenomena <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epa.gov\/climatechange-science\/causes-climate-change#:~:text=Human%20Versus%20Natural%20Causes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">can\u2019t explain the current warming trend<\/a>\u2014it\u2019s much too fast and much too extreme compared to preindustrial climate shifts.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Climate change isn\u2019t worth the cost of fixing.&nbsp;<\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Rather than denying climate change or human responsibility for it, some simply argue that fighting climate change is too expensive. The UN estimate that the world will need to spend <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecosystemmarketplace.com\/articles\/thanks-to-past-inertia-it-will-now-cost-between-1-6-and-3-8-trillion-per-year-to-fix-the-climate-mess\/#:~:text=the%20cost%20of%20fixing%20it%20is%20now%20somewhere%20between%20%241.6%20trillion%20and%203.8%20trillion%20per%20year%2C\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">between $1.6 trillion and $3.8 trillion annually<\/a> to fix it seems to support this argument.\u00a0However, the costs of <em>not <\/em>fighting climate change will be far higher in the long run. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>These are only a few of the arguments commonly put forward by climate skeptics; there are <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/climate-consensus-97-per-cent\/2014\/may\/06\/top-ten-global-warming-skeptic-arguments-debunked\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>many others<\/strong><\/a><strong>. <\/strong>However, the evidence is overwhelmingly in favor of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/anthropogenic-global-warming\/\">anthropogenic climate change<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-s-next\"><strong>What\u2019s Next?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>If these warming trends continue, scientists project that <a href=\"https:\/\/climate.nasa.gov\/effects\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">environmental conditions will keep getting worse<\/a>. That will mean even more heat-related deaths, stronger storms, coastal flooding, and worsening drought conditions across much of the world.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To avoid the worst <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/side-effects-of-global-warming\/\">effects of climate change<\/a>, it\u2019s estimated that we need to keep the average global temperature within 1.5\u00b0C (2.7\u00b0F) of the preindustrial average. To accomplish that, we\u2019ll need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/process-and-meetings\/the-paris-agreement\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">over 40% by the end of the decade<\/a>. <strong>This is the objective of the 2015 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/is-the-paris-agreement-effective\/\">Paris Climate Agreement<\/a>;<\/strong> it\u2019s an ambitious goal, but one that nearly every nation in the world has agreed to work together to meet.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What&#8217;s causing the record-breaking heat around the globe? Is it man-made or natural? The ten warmest years in recorded history all happened since 2010, and 2023 is on track to beat the record once again. Despite this, there are still many climate change skeptics. Here&#8217;s a look at the causes of the recent extreme heat and why the skeptics are wrong.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":109218,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[160,24],"tags":[727],"class_list":["post-109217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-science","category-society","tag-articles","","tg-column-two"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Record-Breaking Heat: Causes &amp; Consequences - Shortform Books<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This year&#039;s record-breaking heat has been the trend for the past ten years\u2014each year topping the last. 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