{"id":101048,"date":"2023-04-23T13:41:00","date_gmt":"2023-04-23T17:41:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/?p=101048"},"modified":"2023-05-03T13:46:28","modified_gmt":"2023-05-03T17:46:28","slug":"big-picture-thinking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/","title":{"rendered":"Big-Picture Thinking: The Top 3 Methods (+ Examples)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Do you consider yourself a big-picture thinker? Do you try to understand every problem or situation holistically?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When we\u2019re faced with a problem or a difficult decision, we tend to resort to our usual cause-and-effect, detail-oriented type of thinking. While this type of thinking is useful in some situations, it can obscure the bigger picture. As a result, the optimal solution may evade us because it lies outside the range of ideas where we are looking for it.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With this in mind, here are three ways you can apply big-picture thinking to solve problems and make decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-systems-thinking\"><strong>1. Systems Thinking<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>People naturally think in linear, cause-and-effect relationships because they\u2019re clear and easy to understand.<strong> <\/strong>However, thinking in a linear fashion can cause you to become too zoomed in on the effects of a particular action or event that you fail to see the bigger picture.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By practicing to think in systems instead of linear cause-and-effect relationships, you can get a better grasp of any problem or situation. In his book <a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/the-fifth-discipline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>The Fifth Discipline<\/em><\/a>, systems scientist Peter Senge explains that <strong>systems thinking relies on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/feedback-loop-meaning\/\">feedback loops<\/a>. <\/strong>This means when you take an action, that action creates some effect; that effect eventually circles back around and influences the cause (you), often in an unexpected way. Studying feedback is how you see the effects of your actions on the entire system, rather than just the part of it your decision directly altered.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One example of a feedback loop is an investment bubble: Investors overvalue a company or industry and invest heavily in it, which drives up its value. That causes others to overvalue it even more and invest even more, creating a loop of accelerating investment. However, this loop doesn\u2019t last forever: Eventually, market forces catch up with the investment, the bubble bursts and the value plummets, and those investors unexpectedly lose a great deal of money.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Systems thinking through feedback loops could help you get a more accurate view of the whole situation rather than a narrow view of one event or factor.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Systems Thinking and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/integrative-decision-making\/\">Decision Making<\/a><\/strong><br><br>When you view the world through a systems lens, you\u2019ll see feedback loops everywhere. In fact, here\u2019s a challenge: try thinking of <em>any <\/em>decision you make without a feedback loop of some kind. Can you think of any?<br><br>You might start finding that many things influence each other in reciprocal ways. Instead of pure cause and effect, you might see that the effect actually influences the cause. <br><br>-If population growth causes poverty, does poverty also cause population growth? <br>-If the government makes a bad decision for the nation, did the nation do something to cause the government to make that bad decision?<br><br>Invert your thinking. If A causes B, does B also cause A?\u00a0<br><br>This type of systems thinking makes blame much more complicated. It\u2019s not an easy cause-and-effect relationship. It\u2019s a system of interconnected parts and complicated feedback loops.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class='book-template'>\nTITLE: Thinking in Systems<br>\nAUTHOR: Donella H. Meadows<br>\nTIME: 48<br>\nREADS: 192.8<br>\nIMG_URL: https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/thinking-in-systems-cover.png<br>\nBOOK_SUMMARYURL: thinking-in-systems-summary-donella-h-meadows<br>\nAMZN_ID: XYZ<br>\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-outside-view-thinking\"><strong>2. Outside-View Thinking&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Another way to engage in big-picture thinking is to look at what Daniel Kahneman, the author of <a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/thinking-fast-and-slow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Thinking, Fast and Slow<\/em><\/a>, calls <em>the outside view<\/em>. The outside view is basically looking at the wide perspective of the situation before accounting for the specifics. In contrast,\u00a0 the \u201cinside view\u201d is looking at the particular details of a situation.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>For example, imagine someone tells you about their physician friend, Dr. Jones, and asks you to estimate the likelihood that Dr. Jones is a pediatrician. If you start with the outside view, you\u2019ll ignore any details about the specific person. Instead of thinking about whether that person seems like the type to work in pediatrics, you\u2019d try to answer the question \u201cWhat percentage of doctors specialize in pediatrics overall?\u201d&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/li><li>By contrast, if you take the inside view, you\u2019ll focus on the unique details you learn about Dr. Jones\u2014their personality, whether they have children of their own, and so on. You\u2019ll really be answering the question, \u201cIs this the sort of person who is likely to be a pediatrician?\u201d<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>By nature, our storytelling minds gravitate toward the inside view. Statistics are dry and abstract\u2014digging into the nitty-gritty details of someone\u2019s personality is much more exciting. But that natural tendency can quickly lead us astray. If we\u2019re told that Dr. Jones loves children and worked at a summer camp for sick children during college, we might say it\u2019s 80% likely that Dr. Jones is a pediatrician. On the other hand, if we\u2019re told that Dr. Jones is a very serious, reserved person and has no plans to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/becoming-first-time-parents\/\">become a parent<\/a>, we might swing to the other extreme and guess 2%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The problem with this practice is that we have no way of knowing <em>how<\/em> extreme those answers are. For that, we need a <strong>base rate<\/strong> to give us an idea of how common it is to specialize in pediatrics in <em>general<\/em>. In reality, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aamc.org\/news-insights\/what-specialties-do-doctors-choose\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">only about 6.5% of doctors specialize in pediatrics<\/a>. A guess of 2% is closer to the mean than a guess of 80%, which means that an 80% guess is more likely to be wrong.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Master the Outside View With a Premortem<\/strong><br><br>In <a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/thinking-fast-and-slow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Thinking, Fast and Slow<\/em><\/a>, Daniel Kahneman advises <a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/thinking-fast-and-slow\/part-3-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">using a \u201cpremortem\u201d analysis to avoid the dangers of inside-out thinking<\/a>. A premortem analysis is a mental exercise in which you imagine that whatever you\u2019re working on (be it a project or a forecast) has already come to fruition\u2014and was a complete disaster. Your goal is to come up with as many reasons as possible to explain this hypothetical \u201cfailure.\u201d\u00a0<br><br>This approach is helpful because, by nature, the inside view makes a situation feel \u201cspecial\u201d\u2014it predisposes you to focus on what makes the situation unique. That feeling can make it more difficult to notice biases in your prediction because you might assume the current situation won\u2019t abide by the usual \u201crules.\u201d For example, most newlyweds probably don\u2019t expect to ever get divorced, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.apa.org\/topics\/divorce-child-custody#:~:text=They%20are%20also%20good%20for,subsequent%20marriages%20is%20even%20higher.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">despite the 40-50% divorce rate<\/a>. That\u2019s because, from the inside, the relationship feels \u201cspecial\u201d or distinct from the relationships that ended in divorce.<br><br><a href=\"https:\/\/hbr.org\/2007\/09\/performing-a-project-premortem\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The premortem technique can help you reorient to the outside view<\/a> because assuming your answer is incorrect will likely force you to recognize that the specifics of this situation aren\u2019t as important as the base rate. For example, if you\u2019re predicting whether a startup will succeed, it\u2019s tempting to take the inside view and make your forecast based on the business model or the founder\u2019s previous business experience. However, if you try a premortem analysis, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/personal-finance\/040915\/how-many-startups-fail-and-why.asp#:~:text=In%202019%2C%20the%20failure%20rate,70%25%20in%20their%2010th%20year.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">it will be easy to come up with reasons the company failed given that the failure rate for startups is roughly 90%<\/a>. That sobering statistic can help remind you that even if the inside view looks like a recipe for success, the odds are stacked so strongly against new businesses that failure is much more likely.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-3-diffuse-mode-of-thinking\"><strong>3. Diffuse Mode of Thinking&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/a-mind-for-numbers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>A Mind for Numbers<\/em><\/a>, Barbara Oakley explains that your brain naturally alternates between two <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/modes-of-thinking\/\">modes of thinking<\/a>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/attention-in-learning\/\">focused and diffuse<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Oakley, focused mode thinking occurs when you focus your attention on something. In the focused mode, your thoughts progress rapidly along short pathways between concepts that are closely connected in your mind. The more these pathways are used, the more developed they become, and the more quickly and easily your thoughts traverse them. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/focused-thinking\/\">Focused-mode thinking<\/a> allows you to take in detailed information or solve simple problems immediately by applying the steps of a solution method that you are familiar with.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However,<strong> <\/strong>focused-mode thinking is susceptible to the \u201cEinstellung effect,\u201d which occurs when you are unable to solve a problem because the solution is outside the range of ideas where you are looking for it.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To solve such a problem, you need to switch to the diffuse-mode of thinking. Oakley explains that diffuse-mode thinking happens whenever focused mode-thinking is not happening, such as when you relax or just <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/how-to-let-your-mind-wander\/\">let your mind wander<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Diffuse mode thinking continues to subconsciously process information from previous focused-mode thinking but in a different way. It can generate creative ideas and creative solutions to difficult problems, circumventing the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/einstellung-effect\/\">Einstellung effect<\/a> by allowing you to mentally step away from detailed problems and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/how-to-look-at-the-bigger-picture\/\">see the big picture<\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oakley lists a number of ways you can access the big-picture <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/modes-of-thinking-2\/\">thinking mode<\/a>:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Go for a walk or do something athletic.<\/li><li>Take care of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/routine-tasks\/\">routine tasks<\/a>, such as housework or laundry.<\/li><li>Get some rest. Oakley asserts that your brain cannot function normally without enough sleep.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Rapid Transitions to Diffuse Mode<\/strong><br><br>To take full advantage of diffuse mode, you need to divert your attention from the problem until it no longer lingers in your conscious mind. How long does this take? Oakley says it typically takes several hours. This seems reasonable for many situations, but it seems like there could be exceptions. For example, suppose you have been studying physics in your dorm room for some time when suddenly you hear a gunshot outside. The subject of physics vanishes instantly from your mind.\u00a0<br><br>Does a sudden shift in mental focus like this result in more time-efficient alternation between <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/diffuse-thinking\/\">focused and diffuse thinking<\/a> modes? Or does it purge the information from your conscious mind too fast for your diffuse mode to absorb it, making the diffuse-mode processing ineffective? Oakley does not address this question, and it is unclear to what extent this possibility has been investigated by the scientific community.<br><br>Either way, your diffuse mode would finish processing the data sooner, whether because it received less information or got a head start on processing it. According to Oakley, once your diffuse mode has finished processing, it\u2019s time to switch back to focused mode. Thus, we infer that you should refocus on the problem sooner after a sudden transition to diffuse mode than after a gradual one.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class='book-template'>\nTITLE: A Mind for Numbers<br>\nAUTHOR: Barbara Oakley<br>\nTIME: 72<br>\nREADS: 136.9<br>\nIMG_URL: https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/a-mind-for-numbers-cover.png<br>\nBOOK_SUMMARYURL: a-mind-for-numbers-summary-barbara-oakley<br>\nAMZN_ID: XYZ<br>\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-final-words\"><strong>Final Words<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Big-picture thinking means taking a bird\u2019s eye view of a problem or a situation instead of zooming in on the details. While the details are also important, they can obstruct your view of the bigger picture.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>If you enjoyed our article about big-picture thinking, check out the following suggestions for further reading:&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/algorithms-to-live-by\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><em>Algorithms to Live By<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/humans-and-technology\/\">Humans and computers<\/a> face many of the same problems: We both have a never-ending stream of things we want to do and a limited amount of time and energy to do them. Is it possible that the age-old question of how best to live has already been solved by computer engineers? In <em>Algorithms to Live By<\/em>, science writer Brian Christian and Berkeley psychologist Tom Griffiths team up to prove that computer science is a fount of unconventional wisdom with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/practical-value\/\">practical value<\/a> in many areas of human life.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/shortform.com\/app\/book\/six-thinking-hats\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><em>Six Thinking Hats<\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In <em>Six Thinking Hats<\/em>, doctor and psychologist Edward de Bono takes the phrase \u201cput your thinking cap on\u201d to a new level. As De Bono explains, our normal thinking process is a hopeless tangle of six different types of thinking. We can improve the quality and efficiency of our decisions by untangling these six thinking types (symbolized by six hats of different colors) and deploying them more consciously.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Do you consider yourself a big-picture thinker? Do you try to understand every problem or situation holistically? When we\u2019re faced with a problem or a difficult decision, we tend to resort to our usual cause-and-effect, detail-oriented type of thinking. While this type of thinking is useful in some situations, it can obscure the bigger picture. As a result, the optimal solution may evade us because it lies outside the range of ideas where we are looking for it.&nbsp; With this in mind, here are three ways you can apply big-picture thinking to solve problems and make decisions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":59603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[45,14,9],"tags":[452],"class_list":["post-101048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-management","category-psychology","tag-guides","","tg-column-two"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v24.3 (Yoast SEO v24.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Big-Picture Thinking: The Top 3 Methods (+ Examples) - Shortform Books<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Are you a big-picture thinker, or do you use cause-and-effect type thinking? Here&#039;s why being a big-picture thinker will get you further.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Big-Picture Thinking: The Top 3 Methods (+ Examples)\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Are you a big-picture thinker, or do you use cause-and-effect type thinking? Here&#039;s why being a big-picture thinker will get you further.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Shortform Books\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-04-23T17:41:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-05-03T17:46:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/wordpress.shortform.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/man-thinking.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1297\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"759\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Darya Sinusoid\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Darya Sinusoid\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Darya Sinusoid\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/0421cce75bc249b11e2517b3a91f9c46\"},\"headline\":\"Big-Picture Thinking: The Top 3 Methods (+ Examples)\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-23T17:41:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-05-03T17:46:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/\"},\"wordCount\":1888,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/man-thinking.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Guides\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Business\",\"Management\",\"Psychology\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/\",\"name\":\"Big-Picture Thinking: The Top 3 Methods (+ Examples) - Shortform Books\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/big-picture-thinking\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.shortform.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/man-thinking.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-04-23T17:41:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-05-03T17:46:28+00:00\",\"description\":\"Are you a big-picture thinker, or do you use cause-and-effect type thinking? 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